Argument65 rt860113--Hamming小组 第四篇

rt860113UID: 2256886

TOPIC:ARGUMENT65 - The following appeared in a memo from the president of a chain ofcheese stores located throughout the United States.

"Formany years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of bothdomestic and imported cheeses. Last year, however, the five best-sellingcheeses at our newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin.Furthermore, a recent survey by Cheeses of the World magazine indicates anincreasing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. Since ourcompany can reduce expenses by limiting inventory, the best way to improveprofits in all of our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varietiesof imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses."
WORDS:507          TIME: 0:54:37          DATE: 2006-12-7（欢迎拍砖）
提纲：
1． 片面的推广，以偏概全。
2． 公司的目标是赢利，没有证据显示进口奶酪有碍目标的实现。
3． 忽视了环境的可变性
4． 调查的局限性，没有证据显示进口奶酪的消费量处在下滑的过程中。
The conclusion that discontinue stockingmany of the varieties of imported cheese and concentrated primarily on domesticcheeses to improve profits in all of the chain stores is apparently plausiblewhen we go through the argument at the first glance. However, by furtherinspection and evaluation, the president of the chain stores obviously lacksthe fundamental and crucial evidence to qualify his seemingly correctconclusion. And the logic ratiocination is feeble and can be easily called intoquestion.

First and foremost, the president draws aconclusion simply from specialty to generality. According to the sellproceedings in the newest store that the five best-selling cheeses were alldomestic cheeses, he cursorily broaden the case to the whole chain stores,without referring to the sell proceedings of other stores in different area.Facts may be that, the five best-selling cheeses of other chain stores are allimported cheeses and have an appreciable advantage over those domestic ones. Inthis case, the president's logic reasoning is intrinsically of crucialdeficiency and cannot support the conclusion he made.

Despite of the fact that five best-sellingcheeses in other stores are all domestic ones, the conclusion proposed by thepresident is also self-disproval. In the first place, there is no evidence thatshows the selling amount of the imported cheeses is trivial and negligible, andthey may remain constituting an appreciable ratio in the total selling amount.And there's possibility that the net profit of the imported cheeses outstripsthe domestic cheeses. Finally, it is true that the inventory cost can bereduced by the truncation of the imported cheeses storage, but it lacks thestatistics to show that the profit gotten in selling the imported cheesescannot compensate the cost consumed in the storage. Since one of the vitalgoals of the company is to gain profits, the adoption of the conclusion isbound to weak its income potentially and visibly.

What's more, the recent survey do notrepresent the trend of the likeness of the subscribers, not even in the nearfuture for the mood of the subscribers is changeable over certaincircumstances. The preference for domestic cheeses can decrease considerablyand the likeness for the imported cheeses can increase in an unexpected velocity.All these can claim the falsehood and curtness of the conclusion.

Finally, the survey does not indicate thepool of the consumers of the imported cheese is on the decline sharply. So bysticking to the imported cheese market, the profit gain in it can be remainconsiderable. And no matter how authoritative Cheeses of the World magazine is，it also has the propensity in making false surveys.

More substantial statistics presented andevaluated, the conclusion can be the promising one. But depending on the extantstatistics, it is far less sufficient in making even a conclusion. Consideringthe nature of the existence of the company, the profit gain in its commercialactivities and decisions is vital for its survival and prosperity and it is unwiseto link its future with such an unguaranteed action.

hugo010311UID: 2237388

The conclusion that (to) discontinue stocking many of the varieties of imported cheese and concentrated primarily on domestic cheeses to improve profits in all of the chain stores is apparently plausible when we go through the argument at the first glance. However, by further inspection and evaluation, the president of the chain stores obviously lacks the fundamental and crucial evidence to qualify his seemingly correct conclusion. And the logic ratiocination is feeble and can be easily called into question. First and foremost, the president draws a conclusion simply from specialty to generality. According to the sell proceedings in the newest store that the five best-selling cheeses were all domestic cheeses, he cursorily broaden the case to the whole chain stores, without referring to the sell proceedings of other stores in different area. Facts may be that, the five best-selling cheeses of other chain stores are all imported cheeses and have an appreciable advantage over those domestic ones. In this case, the president's logic reasoning is intrinsically of crucial deficiency and cannot support the conclusion he made. Despite of the fact that five best-selling cheeses in other stores are all domestic ones, the conclusion proposed by the president is also self-disproval. In the first place, there is no evidence that shows the selling amount of the imported cheeses is trivial and negligible, and they may remain constituting an appreciable ratio in the total selling amount. And there's (is) possibility that the net profit of the imported cheeses out strips the domestic cheeses. Finally, it is true that the inventory cost can be reduced by the truncation of the imported cheeses storage, but it lacks the statistics to show that the profit gotten in selling the imported cheeses cannot compensate the cost consumed in the storage. Since one of the vital goals of the company is to gain profits, the adoption of the conclusion is bound to weak its income potentially and visibly. What's more, the recent survey does not represent the trend of the likeness of the subscribers, not even in the near future for the mood of the subscribers is changeable over certain circumstances. The preference for domestic cheeses can decrease considerably and the likeness for the imported cheeses can increase in an unexpected velo city. All these can claim the falsehood and curtness of the conclusion. Finally, the survey does not indicate the pool of the consumers of the imported cheese is on the decline sharply. So by sticking to the imported cheese market, the profit gain in it remains considerable. And no matter how authoritative Cheeses of the World magazine is，it also has the propensity in making false surveys. More substantial statistics presented and evaluated, the conclusion can be the promising one. But depending on the extant statistics, it is far less sufficient in making even a conclusion. Considering the nature of the existence of the company, the profit gain in its commercial activities and decisions is vital for its survival and prosperity and it is unwise to link its future with such an unguaranteed action.
赞一个先！正文各段长度再平均一下。
服了，我的水平只能改这么多了。
继续努力！！

[ 本帖最后由 hugo010311 于 2006-12-10 23:35 编辑 ]