argument38 出来盼被揍揍 恭迎贵府砖头～×^^×

sylvie0211UID: 2296270

真是挣扎....痛苦...希望看得XDJM比我轻松点哈
第七次作业（2月8日中午前交）
38The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.

"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
1：俩个城市的情况不一样（气候，饮食结构等）所以未必需要补充这种鱼油提取的物质，需要补充的可能是其它营养成分。
2：可能吃鱼能预防感冒但可能引发其它更严重的疾病。
4：作者说一定能显著减少都太绝对了。
题目：ARGUMENT 38 - The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.

The argument claims that if we eat more Ichthaid, the absenteeism which almost because of cold will decrease. This assumption seems reliable at the first glimpse. However there are several weakness as following.
       
To begin with, the arguer assumes that eat more fish lead to lower colds which is unwarranted. There has the possibility that the people live in West Meria(WM) really lack some nutritional supplement to cause more colds. However might that the lack of alimentation is not Ichthaid which those East Meria(EM) people take from fish. Since the climate, nutrition system may different between WM and EM, hence, we can over simple the reason of getting cold in WM. Therefore, in this situation, we should find what are WM’s people really need to avoid colds.

At the second place, may be it is true that eat more Ichthaid can decline the chance to get cold, yet, is Ichthaid that safety to our heath really dubious. It may cause more severe illness, namely cancer. If so, would you like to eat this Ichthaid in order to get less cold but more opportunities to suffer cancer? Moreover is that relate to cancer or not cannot see for a short time. Therefore, we should do more experiment in terms of Ichthaid to make sure its safety.

Thirdly, the sentence “An innovative treatment has come to our attention that 'promises' to 'significantly' reduce absenteeism is our schools and workplaces" which words 'promises' and 'significantly' is unreasonable. There is no evidence to support arguer's assertion. The possibility we cannot rule out is it treatment is workless or may be reduce a hint of the absenteeism but not significantly.

Finally, colds are the most frequently reason may be just a excuse. When someone do not want to go to school or have another business, they may use getting cold as a excuse to make the absenteeism seem more reasonable. So may be after West Meria Public Health Council recommend use Ichthaid, the absenteeism because cold will decrease, other illness, namely stomach pain may increase.

To sum up, if arguer cannot provide more evidence about the safety of Ichthaid, the reliable data about absenteeism real reasons and the effect of this nutritional supplement. I cannot agree with the assumption that if WM‘s people use Ichthaid the absenteeism will promise to significantly reduce.