Arguement6 -10 提纲 [Chasing For "6" Score]小组第四次作业

leiniaUID: 156136

TOPIC: ARGUMENT6 - The following was written as a part of an application for a small business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe.

"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, our proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's jazz festival last summer, several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment. It is clear that the C Note cannot help but make money."
1、  首先jazz流行，有100，000人参加jazz节不代表他们都是jazz的fans，很可能只是为了娱乐，或者有邻近地区的其他人来参加。
2、  并且全国范围内的调查不能说明问题
3、  即使Monroe有很多Jazz的粉丝，而且他们也愿意花钱，并且他们但不代表他们会花钱到jazzclub，也许他们喜欢把钱花在别的地方
4、  即使他们喜欢把钱花在jazz club上，也不代表他们回去C Note，很可能周围有它他们常去的club那里也播放jazz，只是不打着jazz的名号，C Note很可能竞争不过它们。

TOPIC: ARGUMENT7 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.

"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
1．  因果关系混淆，过去一年的问题不一定是环境破坏造成的，可能人口增加，或者气候影响造成的
2．  即使是环境问题，不代表Clearview就一定做的比Ann Green差
3．  即使Ann Green确实比Clearview出色，但也许还有更优秀的候选人，这里没提到，所以选Clearview不一定是最明智的


TOPIC: ARGUMENT8 - The following appeared in a memorandum issued by the strategic planning department at Omni Inc.

"Mesa Foods, a manufacturer of snack foods that currently markets its products within a relatively small region of the country, has strong growth potential. Mesa enjoyed a 20 percent increase in profits last year, and its best-selling product, Diabolique Salsa, has had increased sales over each of the past three years. Since Omni Inc. is interested in reaching 14-to-25 year olds, the age group that consumes the most snack food, we should buy Mesa Foods, and concentrate in particular on marketing Diabolique Salsa throughout the country."
1、去年20%的增长率不代表盈利就好，可能去年是亏损的
2．并且，没有证据表明14－25岁这个年龄段的人对Mesa Foods的产品有兴趣，很可能年轻人喜欢大商家的甜点，而买Mesa Foods反而是年纪大的人
3．即使Mesa Foods的甜点在当地的年轻人中很受欢迎，不代表它在全国范围内也会受到欢迎
4．即使Mesa Foods很有前途，也不代表我们买下M就一定会盈利，可能需要花很多的钱，我们不一定懂得经营甜点业


TOPIC: ARGUMENT9 - The following appeared in a memorandum from a dean at Omega University.

"Fifteen years ago, Omega University implemented a new procedure that encouraged students to evaluate the teaching effectiveness of all their professors. Since that time, Omega professors have begun to assign higher grades in their classes, and overall student grade averages at Omega have risen by thirty percent. Potential employers apparently believe the grades at Omega are inflated; this would explain why Omega graduates have not been as successful at getting jobs as have graduates from nearby Alpha University. To enable its graduates to secure better jobs, Omega University should now terminate student evaluation of professors."
1．  Omega学生的就业比Alpha大学的差不一定是由于雇主认为Omega的成绩过高，可能是学生本来的能力问题
2．  即使这是一个原因，也没有证据表明，成绩的提高是教评造成。
3．  即使成绩的提高是教评造成的，也不能说明取消教评，学生一定会找到好工作


TOPIC: ARGUMENT10 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a Batavia newspaper.

"The department of agriculture in Batavia reports that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 25 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. During this same time period, however, the price of milk at the local Excello Food Market has increased from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon. To prevent farmers from continuing to receive excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk, the Batavia government should begin to regulate retail milk prices. Such regulation is necessary to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of milk for consumers."
1．奶牛场多了，不代表供应就多了，可能奶牛产奶量下降，或者人口增加造成供不应求
2．即使牛奶供应增加了，牛奶涨价不代表就是农民获得更多利润，可能是在这10年间，喂养奶牛的费用增加了，包装和运输也增加了，还有超市的运营费用也增加了
3．即使农民获得更多利润了，不代表这是不合理的，可能在这10年间物价水平上涨，农民也需要更多的收入来维持生计
4．即使农民的收入确实不合理，但这个措施不一定有效，可能会造成农民把牛奶都运送到其他城市的局面