ISSUE48 & ARGUMENT145 by AW superman billfigo

billfigoUID: 2264887

TOPIC: ISSUE48 - "The study of history places too much emphasis on individuals. The most significant events and trends in
history were made possible not by the famous few, but by groups of people whose identities have long been forgotten."
WORDS: 493         TIME: 上午 12:45:00          DATE: 2007-3-11

In my point of view, I fundamentally agree the statement that the groups of ordinary people  who have been long forgotten mainly make the most essential events and trends in history, rather than a few famous people.

To begin with, according to many historians, the ordinary people is the very one great and basic  power to impulse  the progress of our society, with their remarkable attitudes , abilities and faiths. For one thing , given the examples in the human history, the general development of our world is definitely based on the economic growth and the technology innovation in our society ,  rather than some people who have great fame.  For another , the great contributions to the society in the history  usually  need the cooperation and teamwork of a considerable amounts of people, for nobody could simply turn the earth upside down.

Secondly, when we look up the world  through the perspective of history, the "great" people are to some extent replaceable at some sutiations in the history , since there always be a person to take the crucial position.  Without Franklin Roosevelt, the great former president of United States, there still would be a great president  to lead the American people to walk out the recession with the "Brand New Deal" rather than  Franklin's New Deal.Without Larry Page and Segrey Brin, there still would be a great company with its amazing searching engine products in the internet , instead of the Google, maybe  "Toogle".

Significantly, although we don't want to judge the value of the Communism campaign in the history, what we want to emphasize is that Engles  , the best friend of Karl Marks, once talked that , there definitely would be another person to do what Marks did  for the Communism in the world if Karl Marks did not exist in the history , which is the demand of  the history.

On the other hand,  admittedly , some of the breakthroughs in the history are highly related to the great minds and wisdom of the great people, especially the innovations of technology in our world. Moreover, it might be true that some of our leaders would change the courses  even due to their faults. For example , in the period of  World War Two, Britain was dragged into a catastrophe, mainly because of  the negligence of   Chamberlain , who was the former primer minister in  Britain.

To sum up, as far as I am concerned , the groups of ordinary people  who have been long forgotten mainly make the most essential events and trends in history, rather than a few of the famous people.  Although at some circumstances, the great ideas and courage of the great people might change the world courses , events and trends to some extent. Nevertheless, it is the arrangement of our history ,which  is propelled by our people and the development  in the society, in order to build a more glorious and splendid future.





TOPIC: ARGUMENT145 - A new study collected data that shows that people who snore are more likely to gain weight than are
people who do not snore. It is well known that many people who snore also stop breathing frequently during the night for a
few seconds, a condition called sleep apnea. The interruption of breathing wakes the person-often so briefly that the waking
goes unnoticed-and can leave the person too tired during the day to exercise. Anyone who snores, therefore, should try to eat
less than the average person and to exercise more.
WORDS: 402          TIME: 上午 12:30:00          DATE: 2007-3-11

In the argument ,the arguer tries to convince us that it is essential for the people who snores to eat less than the average person and to exercise more. To substantiate the conclusion, the arguer provieds the evidences that the people who snore  also stop breathing frequently  are too tired during the day to exercise and the new study shows that people who snore are more likely to gain weight than the people who do not snore . However, as it stands , the argument suffers from several critical fallacies ,which might seriously undermine the analysis.

To begin with, the evidence of new study  which the arguer provided is too vague to be informative.For one thing, without any more details about the study, we are not sure about the essential procedures of random sampling  to judge if the study is representative to reflect the all the people.For another,even if the study is reliable , we could not hastily conclud that the people are more likely to gain weight than the people who do not snore should eat less according to the results of the study.

Secondly, the arguer fails to establish the relationship between the the people who snore and the essential importance for them to exercises more.In the first place, it is shown in the argument ,it is the people who snore and stop breathing frequently during the night  that might be too tired during the day, which the arguer simply equals to all the people who snore. Worse still,  although some people might be feel tired due to the interruption of breathing during the night, it is still insufficient to claim that they will not do less sports than any other people. Do the arguer provide the relevant and reliable evidences?

Finally, without taking the alternative ways to gaining the weight  into account, the arguer misleading concludes that  anyone who snores should eat less and exercise more . Perhaps, some people who snore ,even also stop breathing frequently during the night, are always thin according to individual human gene factors.To sum up, the argument lacks credibility because the evidences provided in the argument do  not  support substantially what the arguer claims. To enhance the argument , the arguer should provide more evidences that the people  who snore propably  do not want to do sports during the day.To better evaluate the argument , we need more information regarding that  the new study cited in the argument .

billfigoUID: 2264887

限时成功。
后来又改了several fallacies or errors , hehe