argument4 [AWB小组]第十一次作业，白色情人节快乐

tly823UID: 2145205

Argument4  The following was posted on an Internet real estate discussion site.
"Of the two leading real estate firms in our town—Adams Realty and Fitch Realty—Adams is clearly superior. Adams has 40 real estate agents. In contrast, Fitch has 25, many of whom work only part-time. Moreover, Adams' revenue last year was twice as high as that of Fitch, and included home sales that averaged $168,000, compared to Fitch's $144,000. Homes listed with Adams sell faster as well: ten years ago, I listed my home with Fitch and it took more than four months to sell; last year, when I sold another home, I listed it with Adams, and it took only one month. Thus, if you want to sell your home quickly and at a good price, you should use Adams."

Before people follow the author’s suggestion to use Adams as house seller, I recommend them carefully reexamine the reliability of these scarce facts which indeed account for nothing, and his personal rather than common experience.

The threshold problem in this discussion is that author regards 40 real estate agents in Adam as its superiority than Fitch. We are not informed of the agents situation, such as work hour, performance, work attitude. Although it is a fact that most of the agents in Fitch are part-time, it is quite possible that most or all of the 40 members in Adams are working part-time as well. Still, if 25 agents in Fitch are hard-working and spent almost 10 hours per day in work, while agents in Adams only spent half of the hours, or if all the members in Fitch are experts in real estate agents, while members in Adams are rookies, we can deduce that members in Fitch are much better than Adams unlike the author does.

Secondly, the fact that Adams’ revenue last year was twice as high as that of Fitch cannot serve as a factor in determining which real estate firm to choose. It is possible that Adams has a larger bussiness scale than Fitch, thus more revenue is quite reasonable, no matter how the performance  of the firm is. It is equally possible that high revenue results from its expensive charge in selling house, which may thwart customers to choose Adams. Or perhaps that revenue derived from other channels rather than home selling, including Adams expanded its bussiness to a larger area, such as house renting. On the other hand, Fitch was short of income because it had invested in other plans which cannot gain the benefit soon, or underwent a short time of deficit temporarily which is experienced by even the most successful firm. If all these scenaries are true, we should cast great doubts on the conclusion.

Furthermore, the arguer tries to convince us with his personal experience in selling house. However, these two homes, whose selling time lasts differently, are still have differences in many places: When selling home with Fitch ten years ago, was the market is as prosperous as last year? Did the real estate suffer from a great economic depression? Did the house sold by Fitch is too old or too remote from downtown than the house sold by Adams? Thus, copious factors determine the incomparablility of these two sales.

In the end of this argument, an abrupt conclusion about Adams will help you to sell home at a good price jumps out. No evidence is provided about Adams’ achievements in selling home more cheaply. Unless arguer furnishes us with detailed information about house price sold by Adams in the past, and concerning study that Fitch sold similar houses at a lower price, we can accept this judgement.

To put it into a nutshell, to convince us to choose Adams as home seller, the arguer should compare these two firms more fairly and throughly, including information about their staff members, and performance in selling same houses of a same time,etc. But the arguer fails.

haowrUID: 2232640

写的很好啊 学习 赫赫

haowrUID: 2232640

请问什么时候考试阿