Argument 153 The following is from an editorial in the Midvale Observer, a local newspaper.
"Ever since the 1950's, when television sets began to appear in theaverage home, the rate of crimes committed by teenagers in the country of Altahas steadily increased. This increase in teenage crime parallels the increasein violence shown on television. According to several national studies, even very young children who watch a great number of television shows featuring violent scenes display more violent behavior within their home environment than do children who do not watch violent shows. Furthermore, in a survey conducted by the Observer, over 90 percent of the respondents were parents who indicated that prime-time television—programs that are shown between 7 p.m. and 9p.m.—should show less violence. Therefore, in order to lower the rate ofteenage crime in Alta, television viewers should demand that television programmers reduce the amount of violence shown during prime time."
The editorial concludes that the reason of the steady increase teenagers' crime in the country of Altahas is the violent television programming.To justify this conclusion the editorial notes the several national studies about the very young children who watch a great number of television shows featuring violent scenes display more violent behavior within their home environment than do children who do not watch violent shows. The editorial also cites a survey conducted by the Observer.I find this argument logically unconvincing in several respects. Firstly,the study amounts to scant evidence of the speaker's implicit conclusion that the violent television shown contributes to the increase in teenage crime paralles.However, the editor can not analyse the possible reasons of this conclusion.Just because the violent television programms on TV does not necessarily mean that th teenage crime should be happend in this country.There are maybe some other reasons,such as the children's family ,the education, the social phenomenon.The editor does not think about the other reasons in this country,so the increasing of the rate of the crimes can not just attribute to the television.It is not fair. Secondly,the several national studies can not conclude the children's violent behavior has the connection with the violent TV shown.Because we do not know the number of the studies,and how many people they studies,and where the areas are.The editor can not point the mateiral details.So the studies are unlikelihood.They may from the unsafe areas where always happen the crime.And also from the family which fails to educate the children in the right way. Besides,the scene of the violence may also let children to know how terrible a thing when people do the violent behavior,and not to follow with them. Thirdly,in a survey conducted by the Observer, parents prefer less violence television programming during prime time.The numble of "over 90 percent " is exactly how much,we do not know.It can not show any other imformation about the survey.We can doubt the reliability of the survey.Is it something about Alta?Or what is the total number of the people they surveyed?It is not the credible support. Finally,the cites which the editor adduce are not the credible examples to support the editorial conclusion.They just tell one side of the possible reasons.But the other reasons maybe the mostly factors.From this argument ,the only point we can know is the children watched the violent television programs.Until the editor substantiates both assumptions I remain unconvinced that we should reduce the amount of violence shown during prime time.
In conclusion, the editorial is unconvincing as it stands.To srengthen the argument, the editor must find all other possible reasons contributing to the increase of the teenage violence.If they want to cut down the amount of violence shown during prime time.They should point the violent children in Alta who have the bad infections from the violent television shown .They also should point the material number of the survey that can make people trust enough,and the response of the parents who want the programs to show less violence,or cite some of their words. 请多指教! |