【WinTogether小组】第一次作业+H123

Hey123UID: 2829908

Argue2
The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.

"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting."
提纲：
1.B社区和D社区的房地产状况是否具有可比性，笔者应该就此做进一步的论述或证明。2，好吧，就算它俩具有可比性，那么，如何证明关于社区庭院不知和涂色的规定与房地产价格翻了三番有因果关系呢？会不会是由于政策倾向导致买房热或者经济发展导致居民闲钱增加3。退一步说，就算他们有必然的因果关系，七年前的情况对于如今依然适用吗？
Argue6
The following was written as a part of an application for a small business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe.

"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, our proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's jazz festival last summer, several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment. It is clear that the C Note cannot help but make money."

提纲：
1.作者认为最近的爵士俱乐部很远，因此所有人都会愿意来本地的C Note。All说的太绝对了，而且，也许65英里的有常驻歌手，深得民心，大家依旧愿意光顾。2.爵士乐在M地流行也很值得推敲。十万多人参加M的音乐节，他们都是本地的吗？或者M只是承办地点呢？知名音乐家居住此地又怎么样呢？也许由他因，比如风景好，或者房价合理。3.M的评价最高节目时jazz 之夜又怎样？也许大家满足于听听广播，不爱去club呢。4.最后的研究表明也值得推敲，1K用于爵士娱乐是什么概念呢？他们的总花销是多少？跟其他花销相比呢？更何况，这是一项全国性的研究。
Argue8
The following appeared in a memorandum issued by the strategic planning department at Omni Inc.

"Mesa Foods, a manufacturer of snack foods that currently markets its products within a relatively small region of the country, has strong growth potential. Mesa enjoyed a 20 percent increase in profits last year, and its best-selling product, Diabolique Salsa, has had increased sales over each of the past three years. Since Omni Inc. is interested in reaching 14-to-25 year olds, the age group that consumes the most snack food, we should buy Mesa Foods, and concentrate in particular on marketing Diabolique Salsa throughout the country."
提纲：
1.关于Mesa的销售调查瑕疵有点多。去年利润上涨了20%，那利润本身是多少呢？畅销产品DS销量逐年增加，是因为起点很低吗？毕竟该公司规模不大呀。就算DS的情况很好，那其他产品呢？也很好吗？2.Omni Inc对年轻人的群体感兴趣，那么，他们喜欢Mesa家的产品吗。尤其他的畅销产品？如果有一个证明年轻人确实喜欢的论据就更好了。3.你们收购就好了，可是他只是很小的区域销售产品，你们怎么就放胆去全国销售了呢？M所在地的情况和全国的平均情况相近吗？何况，畅销货DS也许是只符合当地人口味的呢？那你们是不是要改良配方?


今天狂补的，不管咋样不能不交作业~~~~~(>_<)~~~~ 写得很怂了，还中文的，加油加油~

Hey123UID: 2829908

Argue16.
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a local newspaper from a citizen of the state of Impecunia.
"Two years ago our neighboring state, Lucria, began a state lottery to supplement tax revenues for education and public health. Today, Lucria spends more per pupil than we do, and Lucria's public health program treats far more people than our state's program does. If we were to establish a state lottery like the one in Lucria, the profits could be used to improve our educational system and public health program. The new lottery would doubtless be successful, because a survey conducted in our capital city concludes that citizens of Impecunia already spend an average of $50 per person per year on gambling."

提纲：
1.L州的状况分析，小小问题。小学生的平均开支比我们多，平均开支能够代表小学生教育的收入总额吗？也许他们的平均值高，总量少呢，我们追求的是总额捏~。就算总额高吧，那么，小学生的状况是这样，那其他块呢？中学生，大学生群体。而且，开支是否都用于增加到教育方面了，是不是买吃的，用于其他用途了呢？医疗体系接待人数多了，并不能代表财政收入啊，他们的医疗状况也许跟我们不一样，也许看病花不了多少钱啊。2.再说了，两年前的举措，导致现在的结果了吗？他们是时间轴的连续而已，不一定有因果关系哈。3.我们州和L州的情况相近吗？也许二者根本千差万别，就算是邻居。4.首府的调查可科学吗？博彩花$50，这个数据不太能够支持大家对彩票的关注，也许这只是他们收入的一小部分。

Argue21.
The following appeared in a memo from the new vice president of Sartorian, a company that manufactures men's clothing.
"Five years ago, at a time when we had difficulties in obtaining reliable supplies of high-quality wool fabric, we discontinued production of our deluxe alpaca overcoats. Now that we have a new fabric supplier, we should resume production. This coat should sell very well: since we have not offered an alpaca overcoat for five years and since our major competitor no longer makes an alpaca overcoat, there will be pent-up customer demand. Also, since the price of most types of clothing has risen in each of the past five years, customers should be willing to pay significantly higher prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago, and our company profits will increase."



提纲：
1.主要竞争者不再生产，所以消费者的需求迫切？主要竞争者为什么不生产毛衣了，是不是已经不流行了或者利润很低了，有其他产品问世了呢？就算没有，有其他的竞争者成长起来吗？
2.逐年上涨的多数服装价格，这个总体中，高档毛衣也在范畴内吗？价格上涨了，消费者也许开始青睐某些新材质的相对便宜的衣服了。3.更高的价格意味着更高的利润吗？也许反之，由于社会经济的原因，价格上涨了，利润却变少了。4.五年前，毛料供应出现危机的时候，这是导致你们停产的主要原因吗，也可以是其他原因，比如资金周转或者市场不景气。5.五年前的原料供应危机就算是主要原因，如今依然是吗？


Argue38.
The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.
"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."

提纲：
1.鱼的消费量高和因为治感冒没有显然的因果关系，需要更多论据。2.感冒本来就是常见病，并不一定要去看医生的。3.就算吃鱼对预防感冒确实有效果，那么该提取物种含有主要作用物质么？4.EM去具有代表性吗，确实能够解决整个样本群体的感冒问题吗？

Hey123UID: 2829908

Argue193.
The Department of Education in the state of Attra recommends that high school students be assigned homework every day. Yet a recent statewide survey of high school math and science teachers calls the usefulness of daily homework into question. In the district of Sanlee, 86 percent of the teachers reported assigning homework three to five times a week, whereas in the district of Marlee, less than 25 percent of the teachers reported assigning homework three to five times a week. Yet the students in Marlee earn better grades overall and are less likely to be required to repeat a year of school than are the students in Sanlee. Therefore, all teachers in our high schools should assign homework no more than twice a week, if at all.

提纲：
1列举的样本只有两个，数量不足不具有说服力。2.两地区的报告教师占总体的比重是多少呢？是否反映大体情况?3.在两地区的比较中，综合成绩和留级状况的结果与家庭作业的关联性立论不足。也许是诸如教育水平的不足导致的。4.对于全州的数学和理化调查，不能反映全科总体的情况。也许总体或者其他科目是收效良好的。5.偷换了概念，教育部建议的是每天被布置，然而argue一直在讨论每周被布置。

Argue206.
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Parkville Daily Newspaper.
"Throughout the country last year, as more and more children below the age of nine participated in youth-league softball and soccer, over 80,000 of these young players suffered injuries. When interviewed for a recent study, youth-league softball players in several major cities also reported psychological pressure from coaches and parents to win games. Furthermore, education experts say that long practice sessions for these sports take away time that could be used for academic activities. Since the disadvantages apparently outweigh any advantages, we in Parkville should discontinue organized athletic competition for children under nine."

提纲：
1.去年的情况，选手受伤人数80000，那么总体数量是多少呢？2.最近的研究对象是很多大城市的少年棒球选手，并不是全国范围内的9岁以下儿童体育选手，不具备足够的说服力说明比赛压力的比重，更加不能证明比赛压力与选手受伤的必然关系。3.棒球选手报告人数占总人数的比重是多少呢？论述也未提及。4.占据了学习时间的不利性论述不足。5.Parkville 盲目借用全国的状况是不理性的，应该认真做进一步的调查。


Argue209.
The following recommendation was made by the Human Resources Manager to the board of directors of the Fancy Toy Company.
"In the last three quarters of this year, under the leadership of our president, Pat Salvo, our profits have fallen considerably. Thus, we should ask for her resignation in return for a generous severance package. In Pat's place, we should appoint Rosa Winnings. Rosa is currently president of Starlight Jewelry, a company whose profits have increased dramatically over the past several years. Although we will have to pay Rosa twice the salary that Pat has been receiving, it will be well worth it because we can soon expect our profits to increase considerably."

提纲：
1.P总裁当值期间，利润的下降完全在于他的领导吗？还是经济不景气或者其他因素也有影响呢？而Rosa过去几年利润增长，那么过去三个季度的情况呢？2.Rosa所在的公司利润是多少呢？是实力雄厚的大资产公司吗？跟我们公司情况一致吗？3.Rosa的业绩数据被模糊了，她是否足够适合呢？4.而rosa本人可以很快融入我们的企业文化吗？利润能够在短期内显著增长吗？或者她在熟悉工作的过程中需要磨合，会导致短期的不景气呢？