Argument10 拍拍！

staralwaysUID: 193479

题目：
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a Batavia newspaper.
"The department of agriculture in Batavia reports that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 25 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. During this same time period, however, the price of milk at the local Excello Food Market has increased from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon. To prevent farmers from continuing to receive excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk, the Batavia government should begin to regulate retail milk prices. Such regulation is necessary to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of milk for consumers."
Batavia的农业部门报告说全国奶牛农庄的数量比10年前增加了25％。然而就在同一时期，当地Excello Food Market牛奶的价格从每加仑$1.5上涨到了$3.0。为防止农场主在牛奶供应量明显增加的情况下获取过多的利润，Batavia的政府应限制牛奶的零售价。这种限价对于保证更低的牛奶价格和充足的供应是必需的。

正文：
The author of this argument recommends that the Batabia government should begin to regulate retail mill prices. To support his recommendation, the author cites the facts that the number of dairy farms increased during the past 10 years and the price of milk at a local market doubled as evidence showing that the farmers are receive excessive profits. This recommendation, seems to be reasonable at first glance, however, suffers from several flaws.

Firstly, the author wrongly assumes that the milk price at the local Excello Food Market can represents the trend of high price in nationwide. It is very likely that this local market locates at the region of the country where the overall living conditions are higher than that of other areas. Thus, in response to the higher ability to consume, the milk price is high while in other areas the price is much lower due to lower income of every family. Without offering us the information concerning the milk price in other areas throughout the country, it is unfair for the author to conclude that the milk price is at a nationwide high.

Secondly, there is no convincing evidence shown by the author that the farmers are receiving excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk. In the first place, the author commits a fallacy of "unwarranted assumption" that the supply of milk will increase due to the sole fact that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 20 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. It is entirely possible that these newly opened dairy are concentrating the focus on products made from milk, cheese or butter for example, but rather fresh milk. Even assuming that the supply of milk will increase in the near future, there's no guarantee that the farm will gain a lot of profits. It is likely that the cost due to transportation is somewhat high thus the net revenue of the farmers is not as high as the author expected, let alone receiving excessive profits. Lacking of additional information to show that the supply of milk will do increase and the increment will lead to high profits to the farmers, the author's assumption is groundless.

Finally, there's no guarantee that such regulation as the author suggested will certainly achieve to goal to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of the milk. The two goals may be conflicting with each other. On the one hand, assuming that there will be adequate supply, it is much likely that the demand of milk is much more excessive. Thus the prices would be hard to be lowered, while possibly heightened. On the other hand, if the price is much lowered than now, the farmers will gain little thus may quit the milk market leading to fewer supply of milk. Without considering about such circumstances, the recommendation is unconvincing to achieve both the goal of lower price and adequate supply of milk.

In conclusion, the author fails to convince us that his recommendation is reasonable. To strengthen the argument, the author would have to provide information showing that the milk price is high throughout the country and the farmers are gaining excessive profits due to the high price. To better evaluate the argument, the author should consider other aspects relating to the efficiency of the regulation.

staralwaysUID: 193479

自己顶一下！

staralwaysUID: 193479

up!

flyingwindUID: 189320

The author of this argument recommends that the Batabia government should begin to regulate retail mill prices. To support his recommendation, the author cites复述，是不是罗嗦了点，很站时间 the facts that the number of dairy farms increased during the past 10 years and the price of milk at a local market doubled as evidence showing that the farmers are receive excessive profits. This recommendation, seems to be reasonable at first glance, however, suffers from several flaws.

Firstly, the author wrongly assumes that the milk price at the local Excello Food Market can represents the trend of high price in nationwide？adj？. It is very likely that this local market locates at the region of the country where the overall living conditions are higher than that of other areas. Thus, in response to the higher ability to consume, the milk price is high while in other areas the price is much lower due to lower income of every family. Without offering us the information concerning the milk price in other areas throughout the country, it is unfair for the author to conclude that the milk price is at a nationwide high.

Secondly, there is no convincing evidence shown by the author that the farmers are receiving excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk. In the first place, the author commits a fallacy of "unwarranted assumption"这个摸板？不好 that the supply of milk will increase due to the sole fact that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 20 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. It is entirely possible that these newly opened dairy are concentrating the focus on products made from milk, cheese or butter for example, but rather fresh milk. Even assuming that the supply of milk will increase in the near future, there's no guarantee that the farm will gain a lot of profits. It is likely that the cost due to transportation放后，或前面 is somewhat high少展开那些factors thus the net revenue of the farmers is not as high as the author expected, let alone receiving excessive profits. Lacking of additional information to show that the supply of milk will do increase and the increment will lead to high profits to the farmers, the author's assumption is groundless.数量比10年前增加了25％，最好分离出这1段来；后面在说多了也不一定有钱。

Finally, there's no guarantee that such regulation as the author suggested will certainly achieve to goal to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of the milk. The two goals may be conflicting with each other. On the one hand, assuming that there will be adequate supply, it is much likely that the demand of milk is much more excessive. Thus the prices would be hard to be lowered？？, while possibly heightened？. On the other hand, if the price is much lowered than now, the farmers will gain little thus may quit？ the milk market leading to fewer supply of milk. Without considering about such circumstances, the recommendation is unconvincing to achieve both the goal of lower price and adequate supply of milk.这段语言不太好，意思表达有点问题

In conclusion, the author fails to convince us that his recommendation is reasonable. To strengthen the argument, the author would have to provide information showing that the milk price is high throughout the country and the farmers are gaining excessive profits due to the high price. To better evaluate the argument, the author should consider other aspects relating to the efficiency of the regulation.

总的来说不错！限制时间的话！
我也有个argument，可以帮我看看吗？
https://bbs.gter.net/showthread.php?s=&threadid=255787