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225The following appeared as part of a letter to the editor of a local newspaper.
'During her three years in office, Governor Riedeburg has shown herself to be a worthy leader. Since she took office, crime has decreased, the number of jobs created per year has doubled, and the number of people choosing to live in our state has increased. These trends are likely to continue if she is reelected. In addition, Ms. Riedeburg has promised to take steps to keep big companies here, thereby providing jobs for any new residents. Anyone who looks at Ms. Riedeburg's record can tell that she is the best-qualified candidate for governor.'
The recommendation endorsed in this argument is that Ms. Riedeburg is the best-qualified candidate for governor. The reason cited are that during her duty, the residents of the state's has increased. Additionally, crime has decreased, the number of jobs created per year has doubled. This argument involves the sort of gross oversimplification and obvious rhetoric. For this reason, the conclusion reached in this argument is invalid and misleading.
The mere fact that crime has decreased is scant evidence that the author ignores how serious the crimes are on earth. Only with the crime's severity and its amount put together could demonstrate the city's public security. It is entirely possible that there just exists little crimes, whereas, the city has horror attacks currently. Moreover, it is equally possible that the declining rate is slower than ever. Is it always good in any condition that the job opportunities is in a increasing trend? How the jobs are created? It is quite possible, for example, that companies created job opportunities though reducing the staffs, perhaps the unemployment is mounting up. Since the number of jobs created each year has double it is unfair to attribute all the achievements to Riedeburg, for the reason that without Riedeburg, the amount of jobs created will trebled. Furthermore, there exists loopholes or ambiguities in author's argument. As an illustration, as the author infers, the more the city's residents are, the better situation is. Regarding the influence of population to the city, whether its population is overabundant, if so, then a difficult problem maybe if its number of residents keep increasing. Even if the more of its residents, the better is to the city, however, the author provides no evidence that how is the rate of increasing. Perhaps without Riedeburg, the population will get a much faster increasing rate.
The author merely concludes that it's Riedeburg who make the crime decreased. Yet the author fails to consider other probable factors may affect the crime. Consider, for example, the city's life standards meliorated in the last years, it is no need to take a risk to commit a crime. Another probability is that the predecessor has left the next Chief Executive a well-constructed system. The jobs created increased might due to local economical development or its affluent source. Furthermore, the author unfairly assumes that its increasing population attributed to Riedeburg. Lacking evidence to confirm this assumption, it is entirely possible that the state's living condition, scenery and climate are compatible for people.
The author also unfairly assumes that it is likely the trend will keep on if Riedeburg is reelected. Nevertheless, this is just a subjective conclusion of the author, how can he know the trend will continue. The author provides no evidence to substantiate this assumption. Meanwhile, the author cites Riedeburg's promise that she will introduce more big companies to settle down in the city. A simple promise cannot convince me that whether Riedeburg will actually put her words in practice, even though she doesn't break her promise, are the big companies willing to stay here? The author neglect some other related factors, such as the natural or labor resource, special treatment. Moreover, is Riedeburg the best-qualified candidate for governor for certain? The author has not been succeeded supply any potent evidence.
To sum up, though the argument seems to be plausible, in fact, it is neither sound nor persuasive. Not only does it leave out such key issues, but also cites in the analysis the evidence, which does not lend strong support to what the author claims.
[ Last edited by staralways on 2005-7-17 at 23:19 ] |
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