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Argument137
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作者：even     共用时间：37分59秒     519 words
从2005年7月4日19时13分到2005年7月4日19时37分
------题目------
The following appeared in an editorial in the Mason City newspaper.
'At present, Mason City residents seldom use the nearby Mason River for any kind of recreational activity, even though surveys of the region's residents consistently rank water sports (swimming, fishing, and boating) as a favorite form of recreation. Since there have been complaints about the quality of the water in the river, residents must be avoiding the river because they think that it is not clean enough. But that situation is about to change: the agency responsible for rivers in our region has announced plans to clean up Mason River. Therefore, recreational use of the river is likely to increase, so the Mason City council will need to increase its budget for improvements to the publicly owned lands along the Mason River.'
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The editorial concludes that the Mason City council will need to increase its budget for improving the publicly owned lands along the Mason River as a result of the predicted increase in recreational use of Mason River after the clearing up plans. However, the argument is unsubstantiated, which renders it unconvincing as it stands.

To begin with, the mere fact that the results of several surveys revealed consistency in the high rank of water sports, such as swimming, fishing and boating is scant evidence that the region's residents give high priority to water sports as their pastimes. There is possibility that the surveys offered few other recreational activities as options, or attractive options like watching movies and going to discos were not included. Given little choosing power, it is likely that water sports, though the most highly-welcomed activity listed in the surveys, are not the favorite from of recreation among residents. Besides, no information of respondents is given and thus whether these responses are representative or not is questionable.

Even if these surveys were comprehensive and reflected the real inclination of the residents, the contention that residents are avoiding the Mansion River because they think that it is not clean enough is ungrounded. The editorial pointed out that there had been complaints about the quality of the water in the river. However, unless further information about how many people complained and how bad they claimed the quality of the water to be, it is not convincing to conclude that sanity is the reason that residents don't use the river for recreational activities.

In addition, even if the Mansion river is not clean enough, the authority can not be so confident that after they clean up the river, recreational use of the river is likely to increase. Though sanity might be a reason that keeps residents away from using the river for recreational activities, there are other possible causes. The water might be too deep for swimming and there could be no fish in the river for fishing. In addition, there could be other nearby rivers that are more suitable for these water sports. Therefore, more evidence is needed to decide whether the cleaning up plan would attract more recreational use of the river.

Last but not least, the assertion that the Manson City council will need to increase its budget for improvements to the publicly owned lands along the Mason River is logically flawed. Even if the recreational use of the river will surge after it is cleaned up, the nearby lands do not necessarily need improvement. They could have already been in fine situation and thus no increase in financial budget is required.

In the final analysis, the conclusion that Mason river is likely to be used more in recreational ways and therefore more money is needed for improvements of the publicly owned lands nearby is unconvincing. To better evaluate the assertion, more information about the credibility of the surveys and also the sanitary situation of the river should be provided. Also needed is evidence that there are no other rivers nearby that is suitable for water sports.

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