Argument216 morallrey20天倒计时

morallreyUID: 2191298

TOPIC: ARGUMENT216 - The following appeared in a magazine article about planning for retirement.

"Because of its spectacular natural beauty and consistent climate, Clearview should be a top choice for anyone seeking a place to retire. As a bonus, housing costs in Clearview have fallen significantly during the past year, and real estate taxes remain lower than those in neighboring towns. Nevertheless, Clearview's mayor promises many new programs to improve schools, streets, and public services. Retirees in Clearview can also expect excellent health care as they grow older, since the number of physicians in the area is far greater than the national average."
WORDS: 461          TIME: 30          DATE: 2006-8-9

In order to justify the recommendation that the old should put Clearview as their first choice to enjoy their lifes after retirement, the author cited in the argument that this place possess spectacular natural beauty and stable climate. In a addition, the housing costs and real estate taxes, stated in the argument by the arguer to support his assertion, is also a agreeable factor for the old to regard. However, after imprudent examination and analysis of the reasoning of the argument, several critical fallacies and severe logic incoherence reveal, which I illustrate in details below.

First of all, the value of the supporting detail that housing costs in Clearview have fallen significantly during the past year and real estate taxes remain lower than those in neighboring towns is of doubt. One the one hand, it is entirely possible that, though having declined sharply, the housing costs of Clearview remain sky high so it is unacceptable to most of the old. On the other hand, that whether the real taxes in Clearview would still be lower or even higher in future than neighboring towns is unknown. In fact, the latter is much likely to occur, since the argument mentions that the major promise many new programs to the town, which will probable elevate the taxes. Without ruling out the other possibilities, the arguer could not convince me to agree with the value of these supporing details to justify his assumption.

Furthermore, another problem with the argument is that the arguer simply equates the large number of physicians in Clearview with high-quality health care. What the arguer does not consider is that the condition of the health-care equipments, the environment in health center, and the expertise of the physicians in Clearview, it is much likely this place is poor in these aspects. Accordingly, the quality of the health care in Clearview should be taken into account before certain assumption is drawn.

Least but not last, although the arguer can substantiate the forgoing assumptions to support his recommendation, other choices for the old are not mentioned in the argument. It is very much probable that there is another town not far away from the one mentioned in the argument, which are more excellent than it in every aspects stated in the argument. Then why should the old only choose Clearview as the place where they live their life after retirement? Therefore, other places as a alternative choice not presented, it is too hasty to draw a conclusion that Clearview is the best one.

In summary, in order to make an unarguable recommendation, more supporting and convincing facts other than the ones mentioned in the argument should be presented. In addition, the quality of the health care in the town should be more clearly stated.

拍砖必回哟！

[ 本帖最后由 morallrey 于 2006-8-10 00:28 编辑 ]