argument42 这一篇写得不好，还没来得及改

lindorUID: 2290025

TOPIC: ARGUMENT42 - The following appeared in a proposal from the economic minister of the country of Paraterra.

"In order to strengthen its lagging economy, last year the government of the nearby country of Bellegea began an advertising campaign to promote ecologically sound tourism (ecotourism). This year the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport doubled, and per capita income in Bellegea increased by ten percent. To provide more income for the population of Paraterra and also preserve the natural environment of our tiny country, we too should begin to promote ecotourism. To ensure that our advertising campaign is successful, we should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign."
WORDS: 568          TIME: 1:40:55          DATE: 2007-1-24

In this argument, the arguer concludes that an advertising campaign to promote ecologically sound tourism can provide more income for the population of Paraterra and also preserve the natural the natural environment of Paraterra. To support the conclusion, the arguer points out  the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport and per capita income in Bellegea both increased after the advertising campaign. In addition, the arguer recommends that Paraterra should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign to ensure the success of the campaign. This argument suffers from several critical fallacies.

First of all, the argument is based on a false analogy . The arguer simply assumes that the increase of the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport and per capita income in Bellegea results from the advertising campaign to promote ecotourism, but he doesn't provide any evidence that the campaign is the only or main cause. Furthermore, the arguer ignores other possibilities for the improvement of Bellegea. For example, the government of Bellegea might set down effective policies to absorb investments from other countries and impulse its economy, thus increase per capita income in Bellegea. Another possibility is most of the foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport would not be attracted by the advertising campaign but for changing airplane for another destination.  这一段写得有点问题。

Second of all, the arguer commits a fallacy of hasty generalization. Even if the advertising campaign contributes a lot to the increase of visitors and income for the population of Bellegea, which is, of course, an unwarranted assumption, it does not follow that the advertising campaign will guarantee the same success in Paraterra. On the one hand, there is not enough information on geological characteristics of both Bellegea and Paraterra, while the only information in this argument is that Paraterra is a tiny country. Whether it is too tiny that many visitors would damage rather than preserve the natural environment needs more discreet investigation. Besides, the opinions of citizens in Paraterra should also take into account in case that most inhabitants prefer to a quiet life and would resist too many visitors. On the other hand, the arguer does not mention what should be prepared for such an advertising campaign. Maybe at least ten advertising companies should involve in, whereas Paraterra is quite short for advertising companies and relative professional people. If the cost of the campaign is beyond what Paraterra can afford, the objective to provide more income seems hard to achieve. Unless Paraterra has ability to hold an advertising campaign within a low cost, which are unknown from this argument, there is no guarantee that it will provide more income for its population.

Third, the arguer's advice that hiring the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign is unreasonable. There is no proof that the director mentioned above make essential contribution in the advertising campaign. 这个也有问题。。

In conclusion, the arguer fails to establish a causal relationship between the advertising campaign and the increase of per capita income and foreign visitors. Moreover, the arguer does provide enough evidence that the advertising campaign can benefit Paraterra both in income and preservation of its environment. In addition, the arguer doesn't prove that the director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office is capable for consulting for the campaign. To solidity the argument, we would need more information to answer those questions above.

kitty_yyUID: 2292666

In this argument, the arguer concludes that an advertising campaign to promote ecologically sound tourism can provide more income for the population of Paraterra and also preserve (the natural) [去掉，呵呵……] the natural environment of Paraterra. To support the conclusion, the arguer points out  the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport and per capita income in Bellegea both increased after the advertising campaign. In addition, the arguer recommends that Paraterra should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign to ensure the success of the campaign. This argument suffers from several critical fallacies.
First of all, the argument is based on a false analogy . The arguer simply assumes that the increase of the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport and per capita income in Bellegea results from the advertising campaign to promote ecotourism, but he doesn't provide any evidence that the campaign is the only or main cause. Furthermore, the arguer ignores other possibilities for the improvement of Bellegea. For example, the government of Bellegea might set down effective policies to absorb investments from other countries and impulse its economy, thus increase per capita income in Bellegea. Another possibility is most of the foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport would not be attracted by the advertising campaign but for changing airplane for another destination.  这一段写得有点问题。[这一段应该可以算是三部分吧，我觉得第三部分可以和第二部分交换一下位置，这样前两部分的联系紧密些。]
Second of all [有这说法吗，感觉有点怪怪的], the arguer commits a fallacy of hasty generalization. Even if the advertising campaign contributes a lot to the increase of visitors and income for the population of Bellegea, which is, of course, an unwarranted assumption, it does not follow that the advertising campaign will guarantee the same success in Paraterra. On the one hand, there is not enough information on geological characteristics of both Bellegea and Paraterra, while the only information in this argument is that Paraterra is a tiny country. Whether it is too tiny that many visitors would damage rather than preserve the natural environment needs more discreet investigation. Besides, the opinions of citizens in Paraterra should also take into account in case that most inhabitants prefer to a quiet life and would resist too many visitors.[我觉得吧题目是说为了增加居民的收入和保护环境，采取这种措施，有没有必要提到居民的个人意愿呢？] On the other hand, the arguer does not mention what should be prepared for such an advertising campaign. Maybe at least ten advertising companies should involve in, whereas Paraterra is quite short for advertising companies and relative professional people. If the cost of the campaign is beyond what Paraterra can afford, the objective to provide more income seems hard to achieve. Unless Paraterra has ability to hold an advertising campaign within a low cost, which are unknown from this argument, there is no guarantee that it will provide more income for its population.
Third, the arguer's advice that hiring the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign is unreasonable. There is no proof that the director mentioned above make essential contribution in the advertising campaign. [可以再加上他可能并不了解P国的国情之类的]这个也有问题。。
In conclusion, the arguer fails to establish a causal relationship between the advertising campaign and the increase of per capita income and foreign visitors. Moreover, the arguer does [not] provide enough evidence that the advertising campaign can benefit Paraterra both in income and preservation of its environment. In addition, the arguer doesn't prove that the director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office is capable for consulting for the campaign. To solidity the argument, we would need more information to answer those questions above.

可能因为对于题目理解不同，有些想法不大一样，希望批判地接受……呵呵~~~~