In my opinion, the number of the vehicles in the next two decades depends on two factors, energy and attitude.
Energy is a critical factor that determines the development of all the vehicles, cars, buses, trucks and so forth. As we know, the petroleum is the major energy that we use in our vehicles in modern society, while at the same time we know another fact that the total quantity of fossil oil is limited, and all the fossa oil will dry out someday in the future. Today the wars of fossa oil happen everyday in the Middle East, millions of innocent people died because of the valuable resource. Therefore if people cannot find a alternative energy in the next two decades, fewer people can afford the more and more expensive petroleum, and the auto industry will gradually shrink. So the consequence is that there will be fewer number of automobiles in the next two decades.
The number of vehicles also depends on another factor that is the people's attitude toward environment. There is a increasing number of people realize that the use of fossil oil is a serious pullution to the environmet, especially the atomosphere. This idea is very popular among the educated persons, they do what they can to protect our planet. For example, in my university, many people live outside the compus, and they have ability to buy their own car. However, most of them choose bus as their transport tool. This phenomena indicate that nowadays people actually do something for their ideals, which means to some extent attitude determines the number.
As more and more people contribute themselves to protect the enviroment as well as less oil production, if there will not be a new, non-polluting energy to replace the petroleum in the next two decades, the number of vehicles that people consume will gradually descrease.