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发表于 2009-5-25 00:00:03
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本帖最后由 mqi07 于 2009-5-25 03:40 编辑
TOPIC: ARGUMENT7 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
WORDS: 435 TIME: 01:40:00 DATE: 2009-5-24 16:43:58
In this arguement, the arguer concludes that Clearview residents should vote for Ann Green,the Good Earth Coalition member, instead of Frand Braun , a member of Clearview council, in the mayoral election. He or she justify the conclusion by citing the facts: (1)the number of factories in the city is increasing; (2)air pollution are more serious and the respiratory illnesses has been increased by 25% according to the local hospital's report. A careful examination of the evidence, however, reveals that they lend little credible support to this claim. In fact, the arguement contains several facets that are questionable, as discussed below.
To begin with, the mere fact that the increasing number of factories is insufficient evidence to conclude that the town council do not protect the environment. It is entirely possible that it is the higher level government that make the factories' number increase instead of the town council, which does not have the authority to deciside it. In addition, there is no credible information to confirm that the increasing factories is definitely pollutive. Perhaps they are environmental, such as waste dispal plant, water purifying plant, solar power plant. Consequently, lacking sufficient evidence, it is impossible to establish the conclusion.
Moreover, a direct correlation between high-level air pollution and more respiratory illness does not necessarily prove that the former causes the latter. Contingencies such as climate changes can lead to the respriatory illness. It might also be the case that this illness is nationalwide prevalent pandemic which the city cannot avoide to suffer from. In addition, the local hospital report is not representative of the general condition. The author's falsure to investigate all the other conditions renders the conclusion based on its highly suspect.
Finally, envn if the town does not protect the environment, voting for Ann instead of Braun is still unjustifiable. There is no evidence to show that as a member of GEC, Ann is necessarily an environmentalist and will definitely take proper measures to improve the environment. Similarly, the author fail to prove B is not an environmentalist and would not protect the environment.
As it stands, the arguer cannot warrant this claim on the basis of the scant evidence mentioned in the arguement. To make it more logically acceptable, the arguer must present more facts that can prove the phenomena— more factories and more respiratory illness are the result of the mayoral council. Moreover I would suspend my judgement about the recommendation untill the arguer can provide the concrete evidence that Ann is definitely the better one than Braun to the citizens. Otherwise, the arguer is simply begging the questions throughout the arguement. |
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