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本帖最后由 eric_scut 于 2009-7-16 16:13 编辑
TOPIC: ARGUMENT101 - The following appeared in a memo from the president of a company that makes breakfast cereals.
"In a recent study, subjects who ate soybeans at least five times per week had significantly lower cholesterol levels than subjects who ate no soy products. By fortifying our Wheat-O cereal with soy protein, we can increase sales by appealing to additional consumers who are concerned about their health. This new version of Wheat-O should increase company profits and, at the same time, improve the health of our customers."
请看3楼的修改稿
3# eric_scut
以下是原作
WORDS: 356
TIME: 00:52:56
DATE: 2009-7-10 13:29:23
(修改后403)
The president in this memo recommends fortifying the Wheat-O cereal, a food product, with soy protein, which, he believes, will increase the company profits as well as the customers' health. At first glance, the recommendation appears reasonable based on the study given. However, further examination reveals the fallacies of this argumentation.
First of all, maybe some other constituent, rather than the soy protein, is responsible to the lower cholesterol levels. According to the description of the study, we can only conclude that soybeans, not soy protein, are beneficial to keep people at low cholesterol levels. As we know, soybeans are complicated composition. Without detailed analysis of their components and the function of each component, the president can not assume that it is the soy protein that makes the soybeans good for people's health and then recommend adding soy protein into the company's food product.
Even assuming that the soy protein indeed contribute to low cholesterol levels, injecting the soy protein into Wheat-O cereal may brings
unpredictable side effect which, as a result, would be harmful to people's health. It is common sense that A is good, B is also good, but the merging of A with B may come out an unsatisfying even awkward result. Similarly, it is highly possible that a chemical reaction occurs when some elements in the Wheat-O cereal and the soy protein are in contact and a noxious substance may be produced. Without presenting any research result about the composition of Wheat-O cereal and soy protein, the president can not convince the customers that the new version of Wheat-O will improve their health.
Finally, the president naively claims that the new product should increase company profits. Profit is a function of revenue and expenditure. How much would it cost to commingle the Wheat-O cereal with the soy protein? The president ignored this factor. If the cost is larger compared to the income from the sales to additional consumers, the company will decrease its profits.
In conclusion, the purpose of the president is good. After all, increasing the company's profits and improving the health of the customers are a double-win result. But in order to convince the board of the company to pass his proposal, he still has to give a further study on the result of composing Wheat-O cereal and soy protein. Besides, he has to synthetically analysis the cost and benefit of developing the new version of product.
附上提纲
1. Maybe other components of soybean, rather than soy protein, are responsible for lower cholesterol.
2. Even if it is soy protein that good for people’s health, fortifying Wheat-O cereal with soy protein may bring side effect that is harmful to people’s health.
3. The cost of fortifying Wheat-O cereal with soy protein maybe large, thus decrease the company profits.
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