argument228[AW狂人社]第一次作业Goku

GokuUID: 2209997

TOPIC: ARGUMENT228 - The following appeared in a newsletter from a political organization.

"In order to promote economic growth in the city, city residents should vote 'yes' on the state government's proposal to build a new expressway linking the outlying suburbs directly to the city center. A direct link to the city center will enable downtown businesses to receive deliveries more frequently, so that downtown retailers will no longer run out of stock and city manufacturers will not be affected by shortages of materials. Booming businesses will attract qualified workers from all over the state, workers who will be able to take advantage of the new expressway to commute to work in our city. In addition to these advantages, hundreds of workers will be employed to build the expressway, further stimulating the local economy!"
WORDS: 529          TIME: 1:32:33          DATE: 2007-3-9

In this newsletter, the author concludes that it is reasonable to vote for the proposal of bulding a new expressway linking the suburbs to the downtown. To justify this coclusion, the author agues that the express would ameliorate the traffic situations, and hence solute the problem of shortages of material and stocks in the city center and attract more qualified workers from outside, which would significantly boost the city's economy. Yet, there lies several ungrounded assumptions and illogical reasonings beneath this argument.

In the first place, it is the lack of such a express that cause the failure of enough provisions to the downtown. However, it might be presumptuous, for the author, to assume that merely a direct link would solute such a complex problem like the supply of sufficient material and stockade to the center of the city. In deed, the shortage of deliveries of materials involves a variety of factors, such as bad weather, inefficiency of the transportation companies, suffice of the materials, and so forth. Even we concede it as a warranted right answer to it, though the author provides no evidence that the need for more frequent deliveries actually exists.

Secondly, the author fails to recognize that other possible scenarios would also occur other than the influx of workers as a result of the building of this express. This express facilitates the communication between downtown and suburbs, and thus residents in the center of the city would probably massively move to the comfortable and leisure environment there, which danger the economic health in the city center. What is more, the enhancement of transportation would provoke a sharp increase of private automobiles, which would neutralize the benefit of a new express and cause more traffic jams that would generate another trouble. Even the attracted workers might cause some social problems, for they simply fill plenty of job vacancies which are previously for the local citizens. And a rise in unemployment is likely to follow by such situation.

Furthermore, a large-scale project building of such an express requires adequate financial support. However, no evidence was showed that there is enough bolster behind the plan. Without ample financial support, it is likely to cause a fiscal deficit in the government, and thus greatly danger the flourish of the economy of the city. And consider the money invested in this project, it might be wiser to use these money to programs intended to improve the condition of the economy.

Finally, regarding to the process of the project, trucks and gadgets for constructions would probably engage some road between downtown and suburbs, while road spaces are badly needed for the common use both in business and  daily life. And the project will not be a long-time construction, and thus can do little to stimulate the local economy.

To summarize, the argument suffers from a unsubstantiated extrapolation and little facts are showed to illustrate the author's point, thus it would be unjustifiable to vote on the government's proposal. To strength this author's suggestion, more evidence need to provide in order to conlude that the express would benefit the economic health of the city, and the reasoning also need to correct logically.