Argument提纲21-30 =So What=小组第2次作业 by robotwish

robotwishUID: 2550184

21. The following appeared in a memo from the new vice president of Sartorian, a company that manufactures men's clothing.

"Five years ago, at a time when we had difficulties in obtaining reliable supplies of high-quality wool fabric, we discontinued production of our deluxe alpaca overcoats. Now that we have a new fabric supplier, we should resume production. This coat should sell very well: since we have not offered an alpaca overcoat for five years and since our major competitor no longer makes an alpaca overcoat, there will be pent-up customer demand. Also, since the price of most types of clothing has risen in each of the past five years, customers should be willing to pay significantly higher prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago, and our company profits will increase."

1.
Obtaining is the only reason of stop selling alpaca overcoat? Lacking details of the supplier. Is it good?
2.
Non alpaca overcoat on the market does not mean there is a desirable need. Other factors and on the contrary. The reason that its competitor no longer makes it is unclear. EI, trend?
3.
Other products’ price rise cannot be the reason.(customer is not stupid. Maybe other clothing’s raw material rise a lot.) The willing to pay is not proved.
4.
Profit. Lacking consider of cost.



22. The following appeared in a memo from the president of a company that builds and sells new homes in Steel City.

"Over the past five years, the population of Steel City has increased by more than 20 percent, and family incomes in Steel City have risen much faster than the national average. Nationwide, sales of houses priced above $150,000 have increased more than have sales of lower-priced houses. Such data indicate that we should make changes in our business to increase company profits. First, we should build fewer low-priced houses than we did last year and focus instead on building houses designed to sell at above $150,000. Second, we should hire additional workers so that we can build a larger total number of houses than we did last year."

1.
No sequitur between increased population/family incomes and home selling. Even if…the past conditions/tendency will change in the present and future. Even if the conditions remain unchanged, the data is compared with national average which lacks details. (Perhaps still lower than national average even grow fast. Or perhaps the national average is too low to buy a house.)
2.
Even if the cause and effect discussed above make sense, the sales of higher price houses increased more cannot account for selling better and faster. (Perhaps the fundamental number is low.) Even if it …. Facts in S city may be not like this.
3.
While it might be true that sales higher price houses are better and faster, however, the author’s conclusion that (more profit) is unwarranted. (Profit is factor of not only revenue, but also costs. Even admittedly higher houses are favorable and sold fast, the profit of which may be not overrun the lower’s. Because ….Perhaps….) Moreover, hiring additional workers is another kind of cost.



23. A recent sales study indicated that consumption of seafood dishes in Bay City restaurants has increased by 30 percent over the past five years. Yet there are no currently operating city restaurants that specialize in seafood. Moreover, the majority of families in Bay City are two-income families, and a nationwide study has shown that such families eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals than they did a decade ago but at the same time express more concern about eating healthily. Therefore, a new Bay City restaurant specializing in seafood will be quite popular and profitable.

1.
Trend will continue? Cannot prove seafood is welcomed. Especially the specialize.
2.
Fewer home-cooked does not mean they will pick seafood instead. Other reasons analogy to a decade ago. Is seafood healthy? Nationwide and bay city.
3.
The profitable is not proved. The cost.



24. The following appeared in a memo from the president of Viva-Tech, a manufacturer of high-tech medical equipment.

"In order to reduce costs, we should close some of our existing small assembly plants and build a large central plant. Grandview would be an ideal location for this new plant. First, of the locations that we have considered, Grandview has the largest adult population, so that we will be able to staff our plant quickly and easily. Second, since the average wage earned by workers in Grandview is less than that in the other locations, we should be able to keep production costs low. Last, as an inducement for us to build there, Grandview's town council has offered to allow us to operate for the first three years without paying city taxes."

1.
Why large central plant can reduce costs.
2.
Largest adult population cannot prove they will like to work for medical equipment. No evidence to prove the easily.
3.
Average. Kinds of work. Different location, different conditions. Low cost not proved.
4.
Without comparing of other town’s policy. And the policy maybe change.
5.
Other ways to reduce costs.







25. The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of Hopewell.

"Two years ago, the town of Ocean View built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. During the past two years, tourism in Ocean View has increased, new businesses have opened there, and Ocean View's tax revenues have risen by 30 percent. The best way to improve Hopewell's economy, and generate additional tax revenues, is to build a golf course and resort hotel similar to those in Ocean View."

1.
Non sequitur. On the contrary maybe the risen of revenue is the cause. Other reasons.
2.
Future uncertain.
3.
FA.
4.
Other ways.



26. The following appeared in a memo from the chairperson of the school board in the town of Saluda.

"For the past five years, Mr. Charles Schade has been the music director at Steel City High School, and during that time the school band from Steel City High has won three regional band competitions. In addition, the quality of the music rehearsal facilities and musical instruments at Steel City High has improved markedly over the past five years. Because of such successes at Steel City High, the Saluda school board should hire Mr. Schade to plan and direct the general music education programs for the entire Saluda school system."

1.
The award and quality of facilities cannot stand for the quality raised. Other reasons.
2.
EI, perhaps not MS’s contribution.
3.
Good at entire system is not proved. EI, FA.
4.
Lacking comparing with the director now.



27. The following appeared as part of a memo from the president of Automate, a company that manufactures automobiles.

"It has come to my attention that Sparks, Inc., the manufacturing company that just moved into our state, is advertising job openings at salaries that are twice as high as those paid to our experienced assembly-line workers. Some of our employees have already left to work for Sparks. In order to keep our best staff, we must pay them salaries equal to those Sparks pays its employees. Otherwise we will continue to lose employees in the future, because Sparks must staff the additional new plants that it plans to build in the state."

1.
The condition of two companies. Same kind of work?
2.
Some? How many? On evidence prove more people want to work for them.
3.
Is the salary only reason? Other factors?
4.
Hasty generalization. Maybe they hire workers from other states.



28. The following is a memo from the superintendent of the Mylar school district.

"A recent six-month study, in which breakfast was made available at school for 100 schoolchildren ages five to twelve, found that children on the breakfast plan were less likely than other children to be absent from or late for school. Clearly, eating breakfast before school plays a role in reducing student absenteeism and tardiness. It is also well known that children who regularly eat a healthful breakfast tend to perform better in school. Therefore, in order to reduce absenteeism and tardiness and to improve academic performance in all of Mylar's elementary and secondary schools, we should provide breakfasts for all students before each school day."

1.
Study unconvincing. 6 months? 100 samples? 5 to 12-year old children.
2.
Non sequitur. Other reasons may lead to absent and tardiness.
3.
Perform better is not proved.
4.
Hasty generalization. 5-12 ages stand for elementary and secondary?



29. When Ida McAllister ran for mayor of Lake City four years ago, she failed to win even 30 percent of the vote. But since then, McAllister has made public her commitment to environmental causes. She would be wise, therefore, to announce her intention to close all Lake City parks to automobile traffic, thus following the example of the former mayor of Plainsville, Alecia Yu . On the recommendation of a small group of concerned citizens, Mayor Yu prohibited automobile traffic in all Plainsville parks, and therefore was credited with solving the pollution problem and improving the quality of life in Plainsville. This action would have great appeal to the citizens of Lake City, most of whom participate in the community's recycling program, and would guarantee McAllister's success in her current quest to be Lake City's new mayor.

1.
No evidence to support citizens in Lake would like to close parks to automobile traffic. No evidence to account for people in Lake concern much about pollution problem.
2.
Even if citizens like this measure, the same action may not make sense in two different places. (different climate, enough money, pollution situation now…)
3.
No evidence to support citizens whom take a part in the community’s recycling program will not like to the action of closing parks to automobile traffic.
4.
AY’s recommence gained some citizens’ support., even just a small group, before taking action. So perhaps M take the same measure will lead to negative influence on the contrary. Besides, just one measure may not let people vote him/her. Other complications….



30. According to information recently reported in the Eliottown Gazette, the number of people who travel to Eliottown has increased significantly over the past several years. So far this year over 100,000 people have arrived on flights to Eliottown's airport, compared with only 80,000 last year and 40,000 the year before. Eliottown's train station has received more than 50,000 passengers this year, compared with less than 40,000 last year and 20,000 the year before. Clearly tourism in Eliottown has been increasing, thanks to the new Central Park and Museum of Modern Art that opened last year. Therefore, the funding for the park and museum should be increased significantly.

注意：增长的势头在PARK和MU后降低了！