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TOPIC: ARGUMENT7 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
WORDS: 456 TIME: 00:30:00 DATE: 2010/2/4 21:34:07
The writer is trying to pursuade【persuade】 his/her readers to vote for Ann Green, rather than Frank Braun. He's reason is that Ann is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, thus he can do better in protecting the environment, which the current members failed. His evidence is the increasing number of factories, the raising level of air pollution, and the growth in patients number with respiratory illnesses. The argument, though sounded logical and cogent at the first glance, fails to provide invulnerable assumption as well as persuading evidence, which I'll discuss in details as follow.
First of all, the statement lies on the basis that the current members indeed failed to protect the environment. But the supports are too dubious to substantiate the assumption. Firstly, though the number of factories doubled during the past year, there's a lack of exact datas【data本身复数】 indicating what kinds of factories them are. Are they environmental protective ones or heavy polluted ones? If is the former, then the conclusion is the opposite. The current members have so far done well. In addition, the air pollution was increased indeed, but what's its growing rate. It may be much lower than which of the year before last year, and thus informs of us that the current members actually did well. Furthermore, as to the respiratory illnesses, the condition is especially complex, for not only the ambience, but also the somatic conditions of these patients affect the illness rate. Besides, such diseases may have lantency【latency】. Though the environment became better, they could also appeared the sympten【symptoms】 of respiratory illnesses.
Even if the environment did go bad during last year and the current did fail in protecting the environment. It's still not enough to arrive at the conclusion that we shall elect Ann. Though he is a member of Good Earth Coalition, no evidence shows that he has a better ability in managing the government. In government handling, good will can do little. Sometimes people have to make conssesions【concessions】 on some issues including environmental ones. He may not be capable in dealing with both the environment-protecters【protector】 and the big factories, while Frank, on the other hand, may be more skillful at such points. In this case, it will be wiser to choose Frank in stead of Ann.
Though there exist many fallacious assumptions and suggestions in the arguer's statement, what listed above is enough to convince that the argument is a poor-related one. In order to strengthen its persuasive power, the author had better includes the exact stalistics【statistics】 of the types of factories, the increasing rate of the air pollution in comparison with former data. And more details about the two candidates should also be involved. Only in this way can the analysis be a more perfect one. |
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