Argument109 【0706G－LOVEAW】 by iq28 0706G同主题写作第八期

iq28UID: 2152875

这篇如果事先不准备考场上遇到我就挂了
写加改用了两个多小时
觉得这篇真的好难写啊~~~
作者套路很怪异...我写的也很怪异....
应该是我现在太困了...钻牛角尖了~明天起来再说吧...
不说了~睡觉~~~

今天又改了一下....如果能有5分就谢天谢地了......


TOPIC: ARGUMENT109 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Maple City newspaper.

"Twenty years ago Pine City established strict laws designed to limit the number of new buildings that could be constructed in the city. Since that time the average housing prices in Pine City have increased considerably. Chestnut City, which is about the same size as Pine City, has over the past twenty years experienced an increase in average housing prices similar to Pine City, but Chestnut City never established any laws that limit new building construction. So it is clear that laws limiting new construction have no effect on average housing prices. So if Maple City were to establish strict laws that limit new building construction, these laws will have no effect on average housing prices."
WORDS: 479          TIME: N/A        DATE: 2007-3-5


The author draws astonishing conclusions based on several steps of logical confusing inferences. In the following details I will discuss these flaws one by one.

A threshold problem with the argument is that the author assumes that the laws limiting new constructions have no effect on average housing prices but fails to prove it merely thorough some insufficient facts of the housing business trends in the two cities. Besides the laws and the size of the city, the prices of the houses can be influenced by various kinds of other factors. As for the Chestnut City, it may be the capital of a historical empire, so highly probably under the majority part of the land in the city buried precious treasures or relics like tombs left by former generations, which may make it extremely difficult to find a proper district to execute large building construction in the urban. In such cases, the new houses in Chestnut City will obviously increase at a very low rate regardless whether the laws have been established or not, and therefore, the rare new houses can easily sell well.

In terms of Pine City, however, the situation may be fundamentally different. It is entirely possible that the economy of this metropolis is very prosperous and the local residents are always eager to purchasing new houses. If there are not other natural factors like the underground conditions which may prohibit the constructions, the laws may seriously limit the numbers of the new buildings, which later leads to a steadily increasing prices. Just as mentioned in these two passages, the author fails to take those different potential factors in the two cities which are also essentially related to the housing business into deliberation. Without ruling out such differences, although the price trends in the two cities are similar, the author cannot assert that the existence of the laws does not contribute to the fluctuation of the housing prices.

For the same reason, when it comes to the Maple City, whether the establishment of such laws will affect average housing prices remains unknown unless a further investigation of Maple City is conducted. If the Maple City has the similar conditions as the Chestnut City, it is highly probably that the housing prices in Maple City will multiply immediately. On the other hand, if the Maple City is a impoverish district that hardly can its residents afford new houses, such laws may further diminish the prosperity of the housing business in the eyes of those housing construction companies. Once those companies give Maple City up, the depressed housing market may directly lead to a significant descent of housing prices. All these possible aftereffects of the establishment of the laws counter the assertion of the author.

In summary, the author cannot assert the effect of the laws which limit the new constructions in any city without a further investigation.

[ 本帖最后由 iq28 于 2007-3-5 23:31 编辑 ]

aunknownUID: 2173661

The author draws astonishing conclusions based on several steps of logical confusing inferences. In the following details I will discuss these flaws one by one.

A threshold problem with the argument is that the author assumes that the laws limiting new constructions have no effect on average housing prices but fails to prove it merely thorough some insufficient facts of the housing business trends in the two cities. Besides the laws and the size of the city, the prices of the houses can be influenced by various kinds of other factors. As for the Chestnut City, it may be the capital of a historical empire, so highly probably under the majority part of the land in the city buried precious treasures or relics like tombs left by former generations, which may make it extremely difficult to find a proper district to execute large building construction in the urban. In such cases, the new houses in Chestnut City will obviously increase at a very low rate regardless whether the laws have been established or not, and therefore, the rare new houses can easily sell well.
提出一点疑问，你的意思地底下埋了东西，因此不能建大量的房子，房屋供应量减少，导致房屋价格上涨。但是如果实施法律后，是不是这种建房子的速率会更低，结果房屋的供应量更少了，房价可能会上涨的更多呢？

In terms of Pine City, however, the situation may be fundamentally different. It is entirely possible that the economy of this metropolis is very prosperous and the local residents are always eager to purchasing new houses. If there are not other natural factors like the underground conditions which may prohibit the constructions, the laws may seriously limit the numbers of the new buildings, which later leads to a steadily increasing prices. Just as mentioned in these two passages, the author fails to take those different potential factors in the two cities which are also essentially related to the housing business into deliberation. Without ruling out such differences, although the price trends in the two cities are similar, the author cannot assert that the existence of the laws does not contribute to the fluctuation of the housing prices.
这段实际上是和上面说的是一个问题，你分开写，我保留意见。 另外，你的意思我没太看懂，经济繁荣，房屋需求量大，法律限制后，房价应该是更高了，这好象并不能证明法律没有作用呀。这个对比论证我觉得的确是非常难说清楚的，再仔细看了一下，基本理解你的思路，PC市没有地质的问题，所以从这个角度不会有房屋的紧缺，但法律的实施则造成了，这种房屋的紧缺，所以价格上涨。觉得你在这里说的不是很清楚，并且没有必要说经济繁荣的事情。只要抓一个就可以点对比的说就行了。 请提意见！

For the same reason, when it comes to the Maple City, whether the establishment of such laws will affect average housing prices remains unknown unless a further investigation of Maple City is conducted. If the Maple City has the similar conditions as the Chestnut City, it is highly probably that the housing prices in Maple City will multiply immediately. On the other hand, if the Maple City is a impoverish district that hardly can its residents afford new houses, such laws may further diminish the prosperity of the housing business in the eyes of those housing construction companies. Once those companies give Maple City up, the depressed housing market may directly lead to a significant descent of housing prices. All these possible aftereffects of the establishment of the laws counter the assertion of the author.
这段我觉得有点问题，城市贫穷，房产商觉得没钱赚，所以干脆不来建房子了，这显然会导致房子的紧缺，因此应该是房价上涨才对呀！我觉得这里还是应该对比的说， 法律在pc 为什么不管用，由于某些原因，但这些原因在mc是可以避免的或则是不存在的， 因此他可以影响房价。请提意见！

In summary, the author cannot assert the effect of the laws which limit the new constructions in any city without a further investigation.

总之，这篇文章是变态！希望不要抽到这么倒霉的题目！

[ 本帖最后由 aunknown 于 2007-3-6 14:20 编辑 ]

iq28UID: 2152875

别把我的文章也当成argu来批...
嘿嘿

是蛮郁闷的
等版主来看了

aunknownUID: 2173661

我可不敢把你文章当argument 批的!都是在学习呀;d:
呵呵说的有点多了, 都是愚见, 被痛苦折磨的不行了!;d:

iq28UID: 2152875

不知道版主是不是不看这次同主题了哈~~~
现在还没动静呢呵呵~~
大家都好忙的说~~~~~

aunknownUID: 2173661

发贴声讨! 或者发小纸条逼迫!;d: ;d:

荧惑UID: 2280559

The author draws astonishing conclusions based on several steps of logical confusing inferences. In the following details I will discuss these flaws one by one.（呼，信手拈来也有惊人之词啊...astonishing...我怎么不会用...还有你的模版呢？？保密？？）

A threshold problem with the argument is that the author assumes that the laws limiting new constructions have no effect on average housing prices but fails to prove it merely thorough some insufficient facts of the housing business trends in the two cities. Besides the laws and the size of the city, the prices of the houses can be influenced by various kinds of other factors. As for the Chestnut City, it may be the capital of a historical empire（诡异）, so highly probably under the majority part of the land in the city buried precious treasures or relics like tombs left by former generations, which may make it extremely difficult to find a proper district to execute large building construction in the urban. In such cases, the new houses in Chestnut City will obviously increase at a very low rate regardless whether the laws have been established or not, and therefore, the rare new houses can easily sell（？？房子很会推销啊） well.－－举了一个例子，说明了ＣＣ有宝－－房子很好卖－－与Ｌａｗ无关　

In terms of Pine City, however, the situation may be fundamentally different. It is entirely possible that the economy of this metropolis is very prosperous and the local residents are always eager to purchasing new houses. If there are not other natural factors like the underground conditions which may prohibit the constructions, the laws may seriously limit the numbers of the new buildings, which later leads to a steadily increasing prices. Just as mentioned in these two passages, the author fails to take those different potential factors in the two cities which are also essentially related to the housing business into deliberation. Without ruling out such differences, although the price trends in the two cities are similar, the author cannot assert that the existence of the laws does not contribute to the fluctuation of the housing prices.－－举了个ＣＣ的反例ＰＣ－－说明ＰＣ没宝－－ＰＣ人多要房－－与Ｌａｗ有关

For the same reason, when it comes to the Maple City, whether the establishment of such laws will affect average housing prices remains unknown unless a further investigation of Maple City is conducted. If the Maple City has the similar conditions as the Chestnut City, it is highly probably that the housing prices in Maple City will multiply immediately. On the other hand, if the Maple City is a impoverish district that hardly can its residents afford new houses, such laws may further diminish the prosperity of the housing business in the eyes of those housing construction companies. Once those companies give Maple City up, the depressed housing market may directly lead to a significant descent of housing prices. All these possible aftereffects of the establishment of the laws counter the assertion of the author.
－－貌似正反两面都说了－－ＭＣ像ＣＣ－－ＭＣ很穷

In summary, the author cannot assert the effect of the laws which limit the new constructions in any city without a further investigation.

－－分析您的思路：从ＣＣ－ＰＣ－ＭＣ一路下来，分析difference，力度...diminish...（疲劳了嘛，我都猜得到）

iq28UID: 2152875

前两个body不想说明是否城市房价与law有关无关
只是想分析得出两地情况不一样 所以类比无效 所以结论law无用也是无效的
作者对于law是否有效是建立在对比的基础之上
作者并未单独分析哪个城市情况之下law是有效无效的

荧惑UID: 2280559

原帖由 iq28 于 2007-3-7 00:12 发表
前两个body不想说明是否城市房价与law有关无关
只是想分析得出两地情况不一样 所以类比无效 所以结论law无用也是无效的
作者对于law是否有效是建立在对比的基础之上
作者并未单独分析哪个城市情况之下law是有 ...

说是这么说，但在类比不可避免的会拿出law的作用举反例。。。当然这是必然的，否则就不玩AR了～

iq28UID: 2152875

不想刻意回避单独讨论某个城市的时候law会没有影响的情况
因为逻辑上这样最完美

不讨论这个了
我已经在牛角尖里面了
等待权威回答
没有权威回答考场上要是碰到了就去买彩票

荧惑UID: 2280559

．．．请三思，还是考完了再买吧

iq28UID: 2152875

我知道自己的思路不好
不过现在想不出别的更好的方法

荧惑UID: 2280559

呼呼，其实我的思路跟你的很近，先Ｐ　后Ｃ　但是我加一段由于ＰＣ导致ＣＣ房价上升的，超越类比，不用类比可以攻击他，就是ＬＡＷ　ＡＦＦＥＣＴ　ＢＯＴＨ　ＴＷＯ　ＣＩＴＥＳ．

智恩UID: 2160717

马上就来看～

speaklessUID: 2205899

挖...土豆....