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发表于 2007-4-16 18:13:35
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转一篇我们校aw6分牛人的作文,大家参考参考
The author's notion that laws that limit new building construction will have
no effect on average housing prices in the city of Maple City is plausible.
After all, the author has provided several evidences to justify his claim.
However, the statement is not so convincing because of the existence of
logical defects.
First of all, the comparison made between the two cities, Chestnut City and
Pine City, is of little meaning since there may exist lots of differences
between them. The housing prices are affected by various factors such as the
total demand of houses, the average prices of lands, and the total number of
houses built. The average housing prices in Chestnut City, which doesn't
possess laws limiting new construction of houses, experienced a similar
increase with Pine City. It is may because that although Chestnut City is about
the same size as Pine City, it possesses a large population, and
consequently people need more houses than people in Pine City. Pine City,
with less houses needed, is affected less by the limiting new construction
than the Chestnut City would be if the latter established a similar law.
Furthermore, it's entirely possible that the houses constructors in Chestnut
City have been more responsible and careful people, and they may established
an industry ordinance to limit the new constructions since the
over-construction of new houses will bring wastes and harm the entire
market. Therefore, although the government of Chestnut City hasn't enacted
such laws, the new houses construction in Chestnut City is kept at a
relatively low level. The similarity in the increasing may also be explained
by the land prices of the different cities. If the land prices in Chestnut
City have gone up during the last twenty years while the land prices in Pine
City have gone down, it's no surprising to see the superficial fact that the
increasing of houses price are similar in two cities regardless of the laws.
To sum, the comparison made can't convince us that the laws truly have no
effect on average housing prices.
Even if one accepts that the laws really do little with the houses prices in
Chestnut City and Pine City during the last twenty years, the argument above
is also questionable in other ways. The author didn't provide us any
information about Maple City. The situation in Maple City may be so
different with Chestnut City or Pine City that even the laws have influenced
little on the houses prices in those two cities, one can't generalize that
the similar laws will not influence the Maple City. Moreover, twenty years
have passed, and things have changed so much that we cannot predict that the
laws will behave in the same way as they did in the last twenty years. It's
largely possible that, although the laws limiting the new constructions
didn't affect the houses prices during the last twenty years, they will
greatly affect the prices in the near future due to the possible surge in
the need of new houses or other facts.
As it stands, the author's contention, while it seems logical at first,
lacks credibility because the author fails to support it with strong
argument. To make his notion more persuasive, the author has to give us more
detailed information about the situations in the three cities discussed, and
provide us a full understanding about the effects the limiting laws will
play. If we blindly establish the similar laws in Maple City, the life of
citizens in Maple City will most probably be largely affected by the
carelessness of the governor. |
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