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51.The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
医生长期以来怀疑严重肌肉扭伤后的二次感染妨碍了一些患者迅速康复。这一假说现在被一项对两组患者的研究的初步结果所证实。第一组患者全部由专攻运动医学的Dr. Newland治疗肌肉损伤,他们在疗程中经常服用抗生素。他们的康复期平均比通常预期的快40%。二组患者由综合医师Dr. Alton治疗,他们被给予糖丸,而患者相信他们在服用抗生素。他们的平均康复时间没有明显缩短。因此,任何被确诊为肌肉损伤的患者应被建议服用抗生素作为辅助治疗。
提纲:
1、 In this experimental control group, we short of other elements, such as the patient’s age, gender, and the muscle injuries status etc. Maybe the first group of patients less severe than the second one, and so that they are convalesce more quickly and strongly.
2、 In the argument, the two doctors use antibiotics and sugar pills for the patients. the author ignore a series of basic discriminative between the two objects, for instance, maybe the sugar pills can countervail the patients renew, and indeed, inhibit their recuperation time. Besides, the argument don’t refer such experiment that the group of patients have no pill or other drug. Maybe in this case, the patients take nothing will convalesce more quickly. While the two doctor have different major, maybe the Dr. Newland excel at heal the muscle injuries and the patient convalesce by his cure.
3、 The average recuperation time was not significantly reduced don’t mean they take more time to convalesce.
4、 Only the antibiotic is the best effective treatment for the patients. Maybe other drugs would more efficacious.
5、 The argument suspect the secondary infection may impede the patients take long time healing. How to avoid the secondary infection would be the crux for the patients?
正文:
In this argument the author conclude that take antibiotic as part of the treatment would be well efficacious in cure the secondary infection that impede the patients convalesce, but he ignore some of basic and integrant elements for experiment. I will demonstrate several evidences for the fallacy of this argument.
Firstly, in this experimental control group, we short some information for the patient, such as ages, gender, the muscle injures and so on. Maybe the first group less severe than the second one, in that case, it is reasonable for the first group convalesce more quickly. It is also likely that the first group younger than the second, and their body strength and vigor, and their histiocyte have strong recycled and self-repair ability, so the first group spends less recuperation time. what’s more, whether the two groups treatment in the same surrounding, if not, there is the possibility that the external factors lead to the different renew time. For example, maybe the second group in the badly location such as Siberian where the cold weather go against the patient’s health and convalesce.
Secondly, in the argument the two doctors use antibiotics and sugar pills for the patients. the author ignore a series of basic discriminative between the two objects, for instance, maybe the sugar pills can countervail the patients renew, and even inhibit their recuperation time. Besides, the argument doesn’t refer such experiment that the group of patients who have no pill or other drug. Maybe in this case, the patients take nothing will convalesce more quickly. While the two doctors have different major, maybe the Dr. Newland excels in heal the muscle injuries and the patient convalesce by his cure. For instance, the Dr. Newland give more attention kinetic for the patient and emphasize the body sport, but the Dr. Alton inverse, he concern the rest and drug , because of the patients lack activity, so they body convalesce slowly. We can also assume that the two groups have other different variables for the experiment, such as except the antibiotic and sugar pills that the patient take, what’s about other medicines the patients eat during the experiment. Meanwhile, we may suppose the second group have other disease, such as mental illness, for example, anxiety syndrome may make the patient feel doldrums, dread, tension and so no , and the terrible symptom lead they convalesce slowly. It is possible that the second group have other physical injuries not only the muscle strain, which of the main cause for they spend more recuperation time.
In addition, the average recuperation time was not significantly reduced don’t mean they take more time to convalesce. The author unfairly equates the recuperation time to the treatment effect. Maybe the second group has better status after heal than the first one. Besides, the second one has been eradicated the muscle injury, but the first group not. We also get informed that the antibiotic is the best effective treatment for the patients in this argument. Does the antibiotic is the only way? What’s about other drugs? And what the other drugs compare with antibiotic? The argument does not supply such information. The argument can also suspect the secondary infection may impede the patients take long time healing. How to avoid the secondary infection maybe the crux for the patients? Why do the doctors have to wait the patients get secondary infection so that take antibiotic for them? Why do they treat more careful in the first injury?
To make this argument logically more acceptable, the author would have to show all the experiments data. Additionally, to buttress the conclusion, the author should provide concrete evidence and demonstrate that the experiment is taken in objectivity and all the test parameter are stability. |
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