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TOPIC: ARGUMENT48 - The following appeared in a newspaper article published in the country of Corpora.
"Twenty years ago, one half of all citizens in Corpora met the standards for adequate physical fitness as then defined by the national advisory board on physical fitness. Today, the board says that only one quarter of all citizens are adequately fit and suggests that spending too much time using computers may be the reason. But since overall fitness levels are highest in regions of Corpora where levels of computer ownership are also highest, it is clear that using computers has not made citizens less physically fit. Instead, as shown by this year's unusually low expenditures on fitness-related products and services, the recent decline in the economy is most likely the cause, and fitness levels will improve when the economy does."
WORDS: 471
TIME: 00:30:00
DATE: 2009-7-16 下午 10:20:54
In this argument, the author concludes that fitness levels of citizens in Corpora will improve when the economy does. To support this conclusion, the author points out that two years ago one half of all citizens in Corpora met the standards for the adequate physical fitness as then defined by the national advisory board on physical fitness while today the board says that only one quarter of all citizens is adequately fitting and suggests that spending too much time using computers may be the reason. The author also claims that the overall fitness levels are highest in regions of Corpora where levels of computer ownership are also highest so the computer is not the reason. The argument has several logical flaws.
To begin with, the comparison between the fitness levels of twenty years ago and today is not enough to support the author's claim. Firstly, the author fails to show the fitness level of the whole nation twenty years ago. If, for example, 90 percent of the citizens of the whole nation met the standards for adequate physical fitness, it just means, in turn, the fitness levels of Corpora are very low twenty years ago. Secondly, the author does not clearly mention the fitness level of Corpora of today. What does "adequately fit" mean? Is it meaning that meeting the standards for adequate physical fitness by the national advisory board on physical fitness? Or other standards? Without clear information, the comparison is not scientific.
Next, even if the fitness levels are really decreased, the author fails to prove that the computer is not the reason. There is no evidence that the regions of Corpora where levels of computer ownership are highest have the highest using rates of computers. Perhaps that region has the highest pay, highest quality of living, highest levels of a computer ownership level, and also the highest fitness level. Perhaps it is the highest pay that leads to the high fitness levels and the computer do harmful to the health. And, there are no scientific statistics to show that the computer could not make citizens less physically fit.
What's more, even if the computer is not the reason, there may be some other reasons that lead to the lower fitness levels rather than the economy. Perhaps the citizens are busy for working and therefore, lack of exercise, which may result in low fitness levels. Perhaps the citizens do not like the expenditures on fitness-related products and services because of the tastes, services and some other reason, instead of lack of money to expedite.
To sum up, the argument is unconvincing as it stands. To strengthen it, the author should provide clear evidence that the fitness level of the citizens of Corpora is really decreased, and it is caused by the economy, rather than computers, or some other reasons. |
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