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"The department of agriculture in Batavia reports that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 25 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. During this same time period, however, the price of milk at the local Excello Food Market has increased from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon. To prevent farmers from continuing to receive excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk, the Batavia government should begin to regulate retail milk prices. Such regulation is necessary to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of milk for consumers."
In this letter, the arguer cites the evidence that the price of milk at local Excello Food Market has grown up to over $3.00 per gallon from $1.50, based on which the arguer draws the conclusion that government should settle some necessary restrictions to pull down the price and keep a balance of the whole market. The grown number of farms in Batavia is the additional reason for the assumption. A careful examination of the argument, nevertheless, reveals how groundless the conclusion is.
The major problem of the state is that the arguer fails to convince us that the increased number of farms in the whole Batavia cannot provide an assurance to the boom of farms around the Market, that is to say, the experience of the whole situations cannot illustrate the same ones in a certain part of the whole. It may be in the case that, due to the government' rules, some new farms are built in Batavia besides at local Excello Food Market, which contributes to the increased number of farms in the whole city. On the other side, the number of farms is stable or even cut, and the high price is a measure to balance the market and make true of the basic profits. Without looking up the real situations, the arguer cannot conclude the state so simply.
Another problem of the logic state is that although the increase of farms' number is true, the arguer provides no evidence to prove the rise in price is ungrounded. More farms cannot represent more milk could be produced, for that government wants to improve the quality of cows' living environments and takes out the plan of dispersing those farms. Also, it may be in the case that those improving measures really cost more than the past, and the $3.00 can just gain the cost. The arguer overlooks those unknown factors undermines the argument.
Last but not least, there is no assurance to provide a bright future by taking that retail method. Firstly, without knowing clearly about the real reasons of the high price, this rude retailing may bring disadvantages to farmers, such as losing one's capital. Secondly, retailing without unwarranted reasons will arouse resistances and rejections to some extent. Without ruling out those unstable factors, the arguer cannot provide surely assurance to the conclusion.
To sum up, the argument is logically flawed and therefore unconvincing as it stands. To solidify the state, the arguer should provide more evidences which are tenable and accurate. Additionally, the arguer must also take an all-sided consideration about the whole market and take out a plan to gain the win-win chance.
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