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本帖最后由 tesolchina 于 2015-5-31 20:41 编辑
(Argument 71重写)
Argument 71、The following is a letter to the editor of the Waymarsh Times.
"Traffic here in Waymarsh is becoming a problem. Although just three years ago a state traffic survey showed that the typical driving commuter took 20 minutes to get to work, the commute now takes closer to 40 minutes, according to the survey just completed. Members of the town council already have suggested more road building to address the problem, but as well as being expensive, the new construction will surely disrupt some of our residential neighborhoods. It would be better to follow the example of the nearby city of Garville. Last year Garville implemented a policy that rewards people who share rides to work, giving them coupons for free gas. Pollution levels in Garville have dropped since the policy was implemented, and people from Garville tell me that commuting times have fallen considerably. There is no reason why a policy like Garville's shouldn't work equally well in Waymarsh."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
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According to the letter, Waymarsh should introduce a policy similar to that of Garville to encourage more drivers to share rides with others to solve a perceived traffic problem. This policy will be better than the road building project proposed by the city council. To evaluate this argument, we need more evidence about the surveys indicating the traffic problem, the policy implemented in Garville that is now proposed for Waymarsh, as well as its strengths and weaknesses relative to the road construction plan.
To begin with, we need to examine the surveys more critically to decide if there is indeed a traffic problem in Waymarsh.
这里主要讨论调查对象可能不同以及问卷调查对象的报告是否可靠 也许交通并没有变差
It is possible that the people in the surveys are neither reliable and the result of the survey is not reasonable. For example, if we had evidence that during the three years the people investigated had moved to new houses which are far from their companies, it would certainly weaken the speaker's argument. In this cases, the survey is no more reliable and there is no need to introduce the policy.
neither 用得不对 然后这两句话之间应该是因果关系而不是并列关系
这一段还是写得不行
这里有两个问题 一个是两次survey能否代表当时的人的实际通勤时间 也许人的回忆不可靠 或者取样方面不具有代表性
另一个问题是通勤时间增加是否真的是由于交通变差了 还是由于人们普遍的住得更远了
可能我的示范也写得不是很清楚
你目前这个中间段肯定是Underdeveloped
尤其是 not reliable这个点没有展开讨论
In addition, we need to collect more information about how the policy has changed the traffic in Garville and how a similar policy will affect people’s behaviors in Waymarsh.
这里主要关注政策是否真的在Garville 奏效 也许pollution减少另有原因 比如政府加强对工厂排污的管理 另外Garville的commute time是否真的减少了 仅凭和当地人谈话是否可靠
同时要讨论 gas coupon及share ride在Waymarsh是否被人接受 也许当地人都是土豪 不在乎那点钱 更关注隐私或安全问题
According to the article, pollution levels in Garville have dropped since the policy was implemented and people from Garville suggested that commuting times have fallen considerably. If we are to learn that the government had carried out strict regulations about the pollution of factories since the policy was implemented, it would significantly weaken the conclusion. It would also turn out to be the case, for example, the people interviewed happended to change their driving behavior after the policy was implemented. In this case, we could not tell the policy did work in Garville. What's more, we need evidence to show the response of people in Waymarsh to the gas coupon and ride share. It would significantly undermine the argument if it turned out that people in Waymarsh refuse the proposal of sharing rides for safety reasons.
If we are to learn that the government had carried out strict regulations about the pollution of factories since the policy was implemented, it would significantly weaken the conclusion.
这里不定式作表语的句型挺好 但是表达的意思不对
We need to know if the government had introduced other policies or taken other measures that may affect the pollution level in Garville. For example, if ..., ...
It would also turn out to be the case, for example, the people interviewed happended to change their driving behavior after the policy was implemented.
这里的would应该是might
因为你是提出一种可能性
而且happended to change their driving behavior的原因是什么 你得提出另一种原因 比如那段时间突然油价涨了 这才是探索其他可能性
refuse the proposal - refuse to participate in car sharing ...
Finally, we need to compare the cost and benefits of the ride sharing policy with the proposed road construction project.
修路虽然很贵 但是可以用50年 和补贴汽油50年的费用对比如何
对当地人的滋扰可以转化为经济补偿 再和补贴汽油的费用对比
总之需要定量数据来对比两种方案
What is the cost of the ride sharing policy in the future 50 years? We don't know the accurate cost of ride coupon and road construction. The mere fact that road construction project costs much doesn't mean that ride sharing policy is better in the long term. It would weaken the conclusion if it cost least to replace gas coupon with finiancial compensation. In this case, the gas coupon is not an alternative choice of compensation.
What is the cost of the ride sharing policy in the future 50 years?这里突然写这句很奇怪 50年是怎么来的
It is true that road construction is a costly solution that requires a large amount of investment. But it is important to bear in mind that this solution can be useful for the next 50 years and the average cost of the solution per year would be relatively small. On the other hand, we need to assess the sustainability of the car pooling reward plan. It may be more costly in the long term to use this scheme to attract more drivers to share cars.
In conclusion, while the proposed policy seems useful, we need to collect more information to address the issues discussed above to evaluate the soundness of the argument. |
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