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本帖最后由 乱羽乱舞 于 2015-8-24 03:16 编辑
tesolchina 发表于 2015-8-23 23:36 ![]()
其实随便混一下拿3分的大有人在 也不必强求
还是不愿意放弃,我再坚持一下。。 老师再看看吧,辛苦了
issue134) Claim: Knowing about the past cannot help people to make important decisions today.
Reason: We are not able to make connections between current events and past events until we have some distance from both.
Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the claim and the reason on which that claim is based.
I fundamentally disagree with the claim. Admittedly historic facts and figures are far away in the past, the development and characteristic of them may be quite disparate from their counterparts in the present. The perspective in which how we regard and make our judgement to the events may also be affected by the difference in distance between the events in different time. However, for one thing, some quality and characteristic may be enduring over the long period of time regardless of the distance. For another thing, people can always draw the conclusion from some basic cases efficiently even though they happened a long time ago in the past. Furthermore, the overall evolution from what is like in the past to that in the present, may shed light on how we can predict the prospect of our current decisions.
In the history of humankind, some basic features, such as people's greed, motives, perseverance and stamina, have always remained unchanged over a long time, thus the way how they react can be conducive to the study of modern social and political problems. The lust for power and fame made the tyrant like Hitler and Napoleon exploit and oppress their people. Both them ordered a series of invasion to the rest of European countries, yet ultimately ended with the same fiasco. In view of these historic facts, modern political regulators make strict confinement on the power of their presidents, knowing that by limiting the latitude of the leaders, wars will never be easily invoked even by the most influential officials. In this way, the widespread peace is made possible among countries for decades.
Learning the past is equally beneficial to understand and appreciate the some major events in the past, thus people can apply what they learned in deciding the choices over similar but varied matters. Approximately half a century ago, the Soviet Union was one of the two powerful countries in the world. However, for years the Soviet government had been neglecting the well-fare of its people in order to concentrate on the weaponry development. This overlook of people's living standard, at least in part, had eventually rendered the collapse of the super union. Accounting for the mistake made by the Soviet government, subsequent leaders in Russia have always committed themselves to grant the requirement of its citizens, though under no obvious pressure. When the basic need of people in a country is not satisfied, the dissension will accrue thus the president is less likely to win the next election after his presidency expire.
After scrutinizing carefully how things evolve from a distance in the past to the present day, one can make reasonable prediction of his determinations and go for the optimum choice. In the field of economics, historic data can be used to forecast the future. When some is taking a position on an asset, such as equity, he is making a prediction about the future risk and reward related to the asset he bought. As a skillful speculator, one has to take into account the historical change in the price of the asset, perhaps even analyzes the trend. There is no doubt that many people have made a fortune by investing in a similar way. Though the history facts may not be put on the same footing with the present ones, it is suitable and justifiable to make use of the changes that have taken place to predict the future momentum.
To sum up, there is a prominent difference between subjects and facts in the history and those in today, it is also imprudent to treat them indiscriminately. However, some quality of things may have an lasting feature, people are also able to draw a conclusion from similar but not identical situations. Besides, it is an pragmatic approach to utilize the historic development to forecast the future outcome. Given these considerations, it is justifiable to say that the knowledge of history can actually help people in making up their mind upon major subjects. |
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