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发表于 2015-12-19 21:59:40
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Argument 25
The following was written as a part of an application for a small-business loan by a group
of developers in the city of Monroe.
"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, the proposed new jazz club in Monroe, the C-Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's annual jazz festival last summer; several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe; and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight at 7 P.M. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
In this argument, the arguer advocates that people who establish a jazz club in Monroe will gain huge benefits from it. Although this argument might seem reasonable at first glance, it is in fact ill-conceived. The reasons are stated as follows.
In the first place, the arguer assumes that because of no jazz club in Monroe around 65 miles range, founding a jazz music club will bring great fortune. Although this is entirely possible, the arguer offers no evidence to substantiate this crucial assumption. It is very likely that not only counting on club, there are much alternative approach to enjoy jazz music and share with others. An appropriate example is not very far to seek. With the rapid development of the internet, people who love jazz can more and more rely on MSN, QQ, Facebook and so forth, to choose jazz music which they like to listen and present their commend and notions immediately in the internet. From this point, the arguer’s reasoning is definitely flawed unless the arguer can convince me that these and other possible scenarios are unlikely.
In the second place, the arguer assumes that jazz music is much popular in Monroe, because of ,last summer, a splendid jazz music festival holding in Monroe, some famous jazz musicians living in there and with the highest-rated radio program- Jazz Nightly –in the city. Nevertheless, there is no guarantee that it is necessarily the case, and the argue dose not supply any evidence to confirm this assumption. It is quite possible that the city has a perfect infrastructure, like theatre, gymnasium, and the centre of entertainment, which can hold all kinds of festival and perform and provide various services. Furthermore, Monroe might have beautiful scenery and suitable environment which is fit for living. Without accounting for and ruling out these and other alternative explanations, the arguer cannot bolster the recommendation.
The last but not the least important, even if the evidence turns out to support the foregoing assumptions, the arguer just simply assumes that a national survey that the jazz fan expense almost $ 1000 every year substantiate the market which contain enormous opportunities and benefits. But this data can support neither any conclusive systematical evidence nor comprehensive proof to affirm its assumption. On the other word, this evidence cannot prove that the city has a stable income from the market of jazz music. To reach the cited conclusion, the arguer must explain either why none of these alternative is available or why none of them is able to sustain.
To sum up, the arguer’s argument mentioned above is not based on valid evidence or sound reasoning, neither of which is dispensable for a conclusive argument. In order to draw a better conclusion, the arguer should reason more convincingly, cite some evidence that is more persuasive, and take every possible consideration into account.
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