argu10 <彼岸小组>第六次作业 by choupghead

choupgheadUID: 2969431

The author asserts that the Batavia government should begin to regulate the retail milk prices to ensure lower prices and sufficient supply of milk according to a relative report from the department of agriculture in Batavia and situation in a local market, which I cannot go all the way with.

First of all, the increasing trend of the number of dairy farms throughout the whole country cannot accurately reflect the situation in Batavia. It is quite possible that the number in Batavia decreased during those 10 years. Even if the report goes with the case in Batavia, the number of dairy farms cannot represent the output of milk objectively. Maybe the size of each dairy farm in average decreases to cause the total output not to increase at all.

Similar to the logical flaw referred to in last paragraph, the situation of prices of milk at the local Excello Food may not reflect that in Batavia. However, even if in whole Batavia the prices of milk have gained an obvious increase, from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon, we cannot conclude that local farmers in Batavia have received more profits from the sale of milk. As we discussed above, the output of milk in Batavia may not increase. Then, although the prices of milk ramp up, the result of the multiplication of the price and output, which goes hand in hand with the total income, may not increase. Even if the total income of selling milk rises, we should realize that profit is not only made up of income, but also cost. Without providing relative information about the change of cost during these 10 years, it is possible that cost of producing milk has obtained a great increase accordingly, to make the profit stay at a low level, even lower than the profit 10 years ago.

What’s more, even if the profit local farmers receive is much more than that 10 years ago, we cannot recognize it is excessive. With the development of economics, the price-level may also rise up. Maybe a price inflation occurred during the 10 years so that the more profit farmers gained even cannot make their living. On the other hand, the regulation of retail milk prices may not ensure an adequate supply of milk for consumers. While not available to earn much in sale of milk, local farmers may go to look for other way to make their living, which will quite possibly cause an insufficient supply of milk in Batavia.

To sum up, without providing more details, such as local situation of number of dairy farms and the prices of milk, local price-level and the structure of supply-demand relation of milk in local market. The author's suggestion that Batavia government should regulate retail milk prices is unconvincing and irresponsible.

muzhihao1UID: 2959675

The author asserts that the Batavia government should begin to regulate the retail milk prices to ensure lower prices and sufficient supply of milk according to a relative report from the department of agriculture in Batavia and situation in a local market, which I cannot go all the way with.

First of all, the increasing trend of the number of dairy farms throughout the whole country cannot accurately reflect the situation in Batavia. It is quite possible that the number in Batavia decreased during those 10 years. Even if the report goes with the case in Batavia, the number of dairy farms cannot represent the output of milk objectively. Maybe the size of each dairy farm in average decreases to cause the total output not to increase at all.

Similar to the logical flaw referred to in last paragraph, the situation of prices of milk at the local Excello Food may not reflect that in Batavia. However, even if in whole Batavia the prices of milk have gained an obvious increase, from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon, we cannot conclude that local farmers in Batavia have received more profits from the sale of milk. As we discussed above, the output of milk in Batavia may not increase. Then, although the prices of milk ramp up, the result of the multiplication of the price and output, which goes hand in hand with the total income, may not increase. Even if the total income of selling milk rises, we should realize that profit is not only made up of income, but also cost. Without providing relative information about the change of cost during these 10 years, it is possible that cost of producing milk has obtained a great increase accordingly, to make the profit stay at a low level, even lower than the profit 10 years ago.

What’s more, even if the profit local farmers receive is much more than that 10 years ago, we cannot recognize it is excessive. With the development of economics, the price-level may also rise up. Maybe a price inflation occurred during the 10 years so that the more profit farmers gained even cannot make their living. On the other hand, the regulation of retail milk prices may not ensure an adequate supply of milk for consumers. While not available to earn much in sale of milk, local farmers may go to look for other way to make their living, which will quite possibly cause an insufficient supply of milk in Batavia.

To sum up, without providing more details, such as local situation of number of dairy farms and the prices of milk, local price-level and the structure of supply-demand relation of milk in local market. The author's suggestion that Batavia government should regulate retail milk prices is unconvincing and irresponsible.

不知道改什么了，我个人认为我的攻击顺序会先将作者认为奶农获得了多余的利润第一个去评论，讲到调查设置的不合理，因为没有提供他们赢利的情况，既成本是多少、利润是多少、在现在市场这种利润是合理地吗。然后再讲他的数据不能真实地反映情况。最后说这种调控反而会导致反面结果。


不过你文章内部的联系是个亮点，我感觉