- 最后登录
- 2011-9-21
- 在线时间
- 85 小时
- 寄托币
- 297
- 声望
- 0
- 注册时间
- 2009-12-2
- 阅读权限
- 20
- 帖子
- 3
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 312
- UID
- 2733663
 
- 声望
- 0
- 寄托币
- 297
- 注册时间
- 2009-12-2
- 精华
- 0
- 帖子
- 3
|
Argument 7.The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
In this letter, the editor suggests that clearview should vote for Ann Green who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition instead
of
Frank Braun who is the member of the clearview town council. In order to validate his suggestion, the author cites the following facts about clearview during the last year:1)the
number of factories has doubled
2)air pollution levels have raised 3)more
patients with respiratory illness have been treated .On account of these evidence, the author claims that the current town council did not protect our environment .However, after careful scrutiny of those evidence, I find that none of them lend credible support to the claim.
To begin with, the editor’s reasoning linking the numbers of factories growth with the city’s decision seems reasonable on the surface, but it may not be true after further consideration. In fact, it is not only the government administration but also the market factors that can have large influence the factories’ development. Such factors might be tax rate, market demand , industry category and so on. Lacking such exact information about those factories which went into operation in the last year it is entirely possible that the town council objected to setting up factories or at least did not support the increase. Neverthe less, they lacked enough capability to stop it.
Even though the increase in the number was because of the town council’s intervention, no evidence shows that new factories are detrimental to this town’s environment. Perhaps they are environment-friendly factories. Moreover, the purpose of new factories is to help the government protect environment . Since the applicant fails to provide detailed data about those factories’ type , I remain unconvinced that the new factories would harm environment.
Thirdly, the increase in the number of patients with respiratory illness does not indicate that environmental problem in clearview has gotten worse. Perhaps clearview’s residents put more attention on respiratory, or perhaps they got other disease which can result
in raising the possibilities of going down with respiratory illness. Moreover, even if the reason for this phenomenon is environmental problem, no evidence shows that is a consequence of the council’s decision. Since the author fails to rule out other possibilities, he cannot convince me that the environmental problem is the only case for the increase in the number of patients with respiratory illness.
Even if the two increases are act the result of the two council’s decision, he argument unfairly assume that Braun ha significantly contributed, and thus is causal to these increases. Although this is entirely possible, the argument provides no evidence to support it. Broun might be against the decision that could make negative influence on environment even though he cannot change the council’s mind. Lacking such evidence it is equally possible Broun is also a environment –lover and had nothing to do with the council’s decision.
Finally, the author fails to provide enough evidence to testify that Green would be effective in ending that trend, not even mention to more valid than Braun. The mere fact that Broun is a member of the good earth coalition is insufficient evidence to conclude that she would definitely be like to and have ability to solve environmental problems. Perhaps she cares little about environment ,the reason for that she is a member of a environment-friendly institution is her interest in this institution.
Overall, the argument is logically flawed and I find it unconvincing
as it stands. However ,before any final decisions are made ,the author must provide clearer evidence such as 1)Clearview does have severe environmental problem 2)Green would be more helpful when compared with other candidates including Braun 3)Choosing Green as the mayoral is the best, or in turn, the only way to solve environmental problem.
. |
|