1006G[REBORN FROM THE ASHES组]备考日记 by 海王泪——要么自燃成灰，要么浴火重生

123runfordreamUID: 2697608

wo lai kan ni le ...

bei ju shu ru fa...

海王泪UID: 2673613

[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.28]
Art Upsets, Science Reassures
https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1055126-1-1.html

My Sum-Up
1.Introduction
[Definition]定义
Science: Reality, an accurate representation of objectivity.
Art: Fantasy, a personal, blurred interpretation with subjectivity.
Science only serves to reify our reality, saving us from losing in fantasy of art which deify our reality.
[Introduction of the Order]文章顺序
Physical PossibilityàRepresentation (Process to “What is”)àException

2. Physical Possibility[+]
1) The creation by specific skill of art upsets the common sense (and also science) on how things work that natural science supported extensively. (E.g. Ghost, dances for rain) Art is such a distinguishing skill instead of one in scientific manipulation. 2)Art brings physical impossibilities (e.g. impossible staircase, triangle) and deifies reality. Such unreal objects could only exists in the art of humanity.
【艺术upset常识(how things work)、艺术带来客观不可能存在的东西】

3.Representation (Process to “What is”)[+]
1)Some argue that these physical impossibilities are explainable through science (E.g. Dimensional theory and constraints of visual system in Biology), but this still does not deny how upsetting the concepts of art create. The motivation of people in requiring such explanation to understand the upsetting concepts only prove that science can reassure people. The upsetting concepts created by art can only be reassured by science rather than another art works.
2)Phenomenon (e.g. A falling apple) can be explained by scientific theory and experimentation.(e.g. The theory of gravity and the experiment of letting go an apple). But art cannot definitively support it because art is not as legitimate and trustworthy as science in the method of assurance.
3)Even if the art serves as a tool of expression or communication for the creator, personal interpretation of art work by others may be different from the original meaning and purpose. (Expression: to reveal something about human; Communication: to deliver any kind of message)
【艺术带来upsetting概念并且只能由科学Reassure、Art在解释事物上不够Sci合理及可信、艺术在诠释事物上因人而异】

4. Exception[-]
1）Art
There are kinds of art which reassure people of reality. (E.g. Pictures of representational and informative art is more straight forward than words in metaphors or abstract concepts.)(E.g. From native people of Bali to the masters of the Japanese music and choreography.)
2）Science
There is an ever present tendency to have an occasion where the theories are indescribably upsetting.(E.g. Quantum physics holds the answer that most likely does have justification, yet ,that justification is not entirely useful or valid.)
【部分艺术能Reassue,部分科学会upset.】

5.Conclusion
Science can reassure our reality because its axioms (transcendence of subjectivity) exist in nature, where art will eternally be left up to individual interpretation which lead to variety of opinions and lack of continuity. (E.g. Geometry is an intellectual construction holds true to our particularizing consciousness)
【科学：超越主观（即客观）的公理，统一而持续；艺术：个人主观诠释，多样且缺乏连续性】
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Useful Expressions
Words and Phrases
The people indigenous to North America performing dances in attempt to cause rain, and perhaps an occasional rainfall to follow, only serves to upset the theories of natural science.
People indigenous to =native people of
Although art may upset, and science may reassure, this does not necessarily imply that one could do the other and vice versa.
And vice versa=the other way around(反之亦然)
E.g. [Oxford]
We gossip about them and vice versa.
Science must be at the service of man, and not vice versa

Functional Sentences
【Illustrate Your Own Experience】
It has been my personal experience that quantum physics will offer (Stoll 4) many explanations with extraordinarily complex, and/or incomplete justification.
It has been my personal experience that….
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Materials(Ideas/Examples/ Technique)
【Ideas for Issue--Pictures sometimes is better than words in communication】
Though, with art of this nature, one does not have to deal with metaphors, or abstract concepts, the picture is straight forward, telling what is, not what is subjective.

【Examples for Issue—Art upsets】
E.g.Ghost, Dances for Rain, Impossible Staircase, Triangle
------------------------------------------------------------------------
My Comment

This article is difficult for me at first because I lose in the definition of “Upset” and “Reassure”. When I come back to the first paragraphs I finally realize what the author means. These two verbs are action launched by “Art” and “Science” on “Reality”.

Art upsets when it creates fantasy that causes disorder of how things work in our common sense. It also disrupts and generates doubts to our cognition of this world. Ghost, dances for rain, impossible staircase and triangle deifies our reality so people require explanations for such physical impossibilities. Thus we can conclude that the explanation could bring reassurance.

The explanations come from the knowledge in science field. Science reassures by removing our doubts and fears of this world and support the reality. We feel safe; we feel things around us are under control by some axioms. The meteorology and earth sciences, the dimensional theory and constraints of visual system in Biology, and also the theory of gravity help explain what and how things really work.

Certainly, there is some exception as what the author illustrates: Pictures of representational art is straight forward and reassure the reality, while Quantum physics holds the answer that most likely does have justification but is not entirely useful or valid. But I tend to believe that representational art functions like photographs, products of camera technique results from scientific development. And quantum physics fail to be entirely useful or valid because it is still in scientific development; in other words, it would become axioms another day when it is well developed.

海王泪UID: 2673613

1.29

呃。。怎么会这样子。。。图书馆里也能够发生这种事。。。
继续补作业···
单词争取后天解决完一遍··1号开始17天

海王泪UID: 2673613

1.30

Comment一篇 背了9个LIST。。
完了。。。压力感来了，按这速度明天解决不完红宝。。呃。。
咬牙。。争取本月结束

海王泪UID: 2673613

2009年
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.18]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.19]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.20]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.21]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.22]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.23]&[12.24]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.25]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.26]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.27]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.28]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.29]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.30]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.31]
2010年
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.01]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.02]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.03]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.04]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.05]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.06]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.07]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.08]&[01.09]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.10]&[01.11]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.12]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.13]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.14]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.15]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.16]&[01.17]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.18]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.19]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.20]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.21]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.22]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.23]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.24]&[01.25]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.26]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.27]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.28]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.29]
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.30]&[01.31]


------------------------------
Above(无标题)；Below(有标题)
------------------------------

2009年
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.18]________Getting warmer
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.19]________Suspended animation
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.20]________A wary respect
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.21]________The long climb
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.22]________America's health-care bill: Nearer and nearer
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.23]&[12.24]&Executive pay
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.25]________Executive pay
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.26]________Passwords aplenty
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.27]________Back to the future
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.28]________Global heroes
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.29]________An evolutionary biologist on religion
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.30]________U.S. Had Early Signals of a Terror Plot, Officials Say
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][12.31]________Beauty
2010年
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.01]________Canada's northern goal
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.02]________Floating in the Digital Experience
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.03]________Beyond Righteousness and Gain
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.04]________The Consolation of Philosophy
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.05]________The role of the business school
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.06]________Planet hunting: Looking in the shadows
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.07]________What Happens After Eat, Pray, Love? Fret, Mull, Marry
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.08]&[01.09]&Political Crime
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.10]&[01.11]&Difficult decisions for an uncertain world
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.12]________America's unjust sex laws
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.13]________Education: The Great Evasion
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.14]________Google Ends China Self-Censorship Policy, Threatens Exit
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.15]________Women and work
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.16]&[01.17]&Iran
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.18]________Education: Through the Wall of Ignorance
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.19]________I'm So Bored With the NEA
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.20]________Using Light and Genes to Probe the Brain
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.21]________Electromagnetic manufacturing
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.22]________Conformity and individuality
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.23]________The weakest links
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.24]&[01.25]&Women
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.26]________The fat plateau
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.27]________Medicine goes digital
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.28]________Art Upsets, Science Reassures
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.29]________Ralph Waldo Emerson: Self-Reliance (1841)
[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.30]&[01.31]&European holidays

海王泪UID: 2673613

[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][01.30]&[01.31]
European holidays
https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1055897-1-1.html

My Comment

"Are Europeans lazy? Or Americans crazy?"
When asked by a question with only two choices, we should keep in mind that there might be a false dilemma. We cannot chose any of these two choices when Europeans are indeed too lazy (though better than Australian) and Americans are truly too crazy. We should find a pattern between E and A. That is, a good balance between life and work. And I hope one day we find this pattern called C. (Developed China. I am just kidding.)

As far as I am concerned, only focus on and argue about total days of vacation can hardly draw an agreement. In fact, it may be more effective when we talk about how holidays being distributed in a year. That is, we should discuss about the policy tendency between scattered, short holidays and lengthy vacation

It is the long holidays which indeed hurt productivity but not the short holidays. If Europe can scatter its six or seven weeks instead of an unreasonable long time away from work, Europeans may not be as lazy as right now. We can imagine that, after the same long five weeks in August, people returning to work sites are much stranger to their works than before. For example, a worker skilled in fixing components probably works much slower and commits errors more frequently. What’s more, it is common sense that people could be more reluctant to focus on jobs if they still enjoy the leisure habits and feelings formed by long holidays. In contrast, it is not hard to understand that short and scattered holidays may be much more effective in recharging tired people without byproduct of lengthy vacation.

Furthermore, short and scattered holidays would enjoy a good position due to the law of diminishing returns ( a basic economist instinct). Think about this. Supposed one week of holidays equals to one piece of pizza, you feel extraordinarily happy and cheer for it after toiling for life when you are hungry. Then the second piece of pizza could keep satisfied you but you are full enough. On and on, you eat the third and uncomfortable one, and the forth one. Lastly, you will meat the most nauseous one! More pizza and longer holidays could not make you happy as the fist couples of ones. Therefore, short and scattered day can keep cheering up people all year round in an effective way.

海王泪UID: 2673613

1.31

晕。。失败了··今天红宝书还是没能过完。。
依然只过了9个LIST，草草地写了一篇Comment
另外查上网本、看iPad、查成绩（首次破4.0～哈），然后一不小心又废了个下午。。。囧。以后不敢了。。。

明天开始17天、过题库。。。
2月就这样来了。。Nearer and nearer
效率赶快回来～～危机意识。。

海王泪UID: 2673613

2.1
AW冲刺第一天

单词6个LIST。。。（决定还是不用17天了，AW的东西做不完，采取仔细连背两次的方案）
Argument题库20，简要写了提纲。
打字来不及练了。。。晕。。。还有乔版的ISSUE BS依然还未参与。。）0（ 红字Warming。。
Comment3000字的大文～～看了一遍··花了不少时间。。明天写··

看了每日5词，每日一评，每日一例。。

[每日五词]教你使用高级词汇（第一章）
https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1056437-1-1.html

收获分别有
The function of comity... Once the formalities and pleasantries are dispensed with, substantive discussion can ensue.
另外~
sb. be inculcated with sth.(ideas)
ample=more than enough
sanguine=optimistic；exceeding the most sanguine calculations

[每日一例]--J.D.Salinger & The Cathcher in the Rye[2010-02-01]
https://bbs.gter.net/viewthread.php?tid=1056404&page=1#pid1773563023

KEY WORD以及关联Issue题目

海王泪UID: 2673613

2.2  （35）

杯具了。。今天。。只背了6个LIST单词
看了每日一评。。。 把COMMENT的文章看了一遍。。
居然就什么都没做了。。临睡前会练练打字。。

白天帮忙收拾东西；然后上网本修啊装啊什么的。。。
明天还要给小妖精送行，然后顺便去舅舅家还点东西。。

备考日志的功能吗？
当回顾今日所做之事是否有益于GRE时，从而调整明日的行为。。
今天很不爽，很不爽，，很不爽。。。。。啥都没做成。。貌似隔壁的C也处于不爽的情绪中。。
赶紧调整赶紧调整。。。

简而言之，就是让下面这个表都打上勾（或弱智点，画个笑脸？）。。。待到30时开始动真格！

题库

Comment

单词

Issue BS

每日五词

每日一评

每日一例

打字

海王泪UID: 2673613

[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][02.03]
Babelicious!Bigger languages are also simpler ones
https://bbs.gter.net/viewthread.php?tid=1057084

Materials
【Argument-Illustrating Alternative Explanation】
This leaves the question of why….at all and there might be several possibilities. One involves…. An alternative possibility is…. A final possibility is simply that….
------------------------------------------------------------------------
My Comment
This article mainly discuss about “Bigger languages are also simpler ones” as they spread. The idea and reason in this article seems self-evident.

More easy a language it is, more easy a language is accepted. With the development of transportation, communication tool, people are more and more active in intercultural exchange and generally speaking, they begin with neighboring languages first. Supposed that each entities are economically equal,
different groups, or tribes, or race in the process of regional integration a would naturally select the easiest one.

But considering different level of economic development, it is another case that simple languages may not be selected if it is owned by poor entities. In fact, a complex language would become simpler one while other entities initially learn it and thus are unwarily simplify the expression to help study in an economically way-less time, less energy and even less money.

No matter in which process, given enough time we would find bigger languages tend to be simpler ones. The author at last leaves a question of why some languages become complex at all. Three hypothesis are offered in this article, but I prone to believe that a bigger language needs to be simpler one in order to be widely and easily accepted and thereafter it is urged to be more complex when people are no longer satisfied with simple expressions but specified, various ones.

海王泪UID: 2673613

[REBORN FROM THE ASHES][comment][02.04]
Can Apple Out-Innovate Microsoft and Google?
https://bbs.gter.net/viewthread.php?tid=1057510


Unfamiliar Words
hang around, blunder

Useful Expressions
Apple leapt way ahead in the PC market when it released the original Macintosh, the first popular computer to employ a graphical user interface.
Leap way ahead=be much more advance in=be so far beyond
Nokia still hold a greater share of the smartphone market than Apple does, but their aging software platforms look obsolete next to Apple's.
A look obsolete next to B=A drops behind B
In his mind, this is the only way to guarantee that you'll give customers a terrific experience.
Terrific=stunning
For most of the world, cheap machines that were "good enough" trumped Apple's pricier, perfectionist, control-freak approach.
Trump=defeat
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Materials(Ideas/Examples/ Technique)

1.【Ideas- History develops with different characters in the same way】
One of the great things about covering technology is that if you hang around long enough, you get to write the same stories all over again. In 1987, when I first started on the tech beat, desktop PCs were a big deal. Today the excitement has moved to mobile devices, also known as smartphones. Watching this new market unfold is a bit like seeing one of those movies where they've taken an old classic and remade it with new stars but the same script.
（观察这个新兴市场有点像是在观看那么一类电影，这类电影被人们当做经典并启用新的明星来翻拍制作，不过仍然沿用同样的剧本。）
Now, as then, a smaller device is displacing a bigger one. Now, as then, the platform remains somewhat primitive but is evolving rapidly. Hardware makers are trying to figure out which user interface works best. Software makers are dreaming up new ways to use machines that even their creators could not have imagined. Now, as then, a new ecosystem is arising, with disruptive technology creating new powerhouses and threatening the survival of market leaders.
{{Structure}}
(1)【TS】 One of the great things about (new characters) is that if you hang around long enough, you get to write (the same stories) all over again.
(2)【E.G.-New Characters】The same excitement from PCs to smartphones.
(3)【Analogy-History develops with Different Characters in the same way】
Watching (a phenomenon) is a bit like seeing one of those movies where they’ve taken an old classic and remade it with new stars but the same script.
(New stars=new technology, new ruler, new conference)
(Same script=The same way of development)
(1)【E.G.-The Same Way】Now, as then, (a new egl) is displacing (an old eg). Now, as then, (a trend) is evolving rapidly. （2）【Details-Players】From Hardware makers to software makers.（3）【Conclusion-System】History develops with different characters in the same way. It is an ecosystem where new characters are displacing new ones.

2.【Examples-Creator v.s Imitator, Original v.s Recent】
Apple vs. Microsoft
Apple leapt way ahead in the PC market when it released the original Macintosh, the first popular computer to employ a graphical user interface. It took Microsoft six years to come up with something that could compare to the Mac. Nevertheless, Windows took over the world and now holds more than 90 percent market share, while Apple squeaks by with less than 5 percent worldwide. Probably Apple's biggest blunder with the Mac was refusing to let other companies license its software (so that the software tightly coupled to the hardware seems to give customers a terrific experience.) Microsoft took the opposite approach, letting any PC maker license the Windows operating system. There's a tradeoff here. Microsoft couldn't control the user's experience. But its decision led to greater diversity of machines, and lower prices. For most of the world, cheap machines that were "good enough" trumped Apple's pricier, perfectionist, control-freak approach.

3.【Examples-Self-reinforcing Phenomenon】
The more apps the software guys created, the more appealing Windows became, so it was a self-reinforcing phenomenon, a virtuous circle.(良性循环、自我增值系统)
The more users the website owns, the more accurate and more information Wikipedia hold. So it was as a self-reinforcing phenomenon, a virtuous circle.
The more users the communication tool attracts, the more convenient and broader the QQ became, so it was a self-reinforcing phenomenon, a virtuous circle.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
My Comment
Apple is famous for its creativity. From Macintosh to iMac, from iPod to iPhone, Apple shows us power and passion when it brings us innovative and stunning things. Recently iPad, an integration of computer and hand device, also captures out attention. But, this article, from Newsweek though published before the iPad, critically asked a question:” Can the company avoid repeating the mistakes that forced it to play catch-up in the '90s?”

As far as I am concerned, the company did make mistakes in the ‘90s but different from what the author said. Why Apple lost was for the shortage of continual innovation instead of maintenance of locking system. In fact, applying despotic system can bring a company much bigger success in a short time but it needs further and sustained innovation to keep its fable again and again, while adopting an opening system enjoy long-term interests but it needs ample resources and healthy self-reinforce method to overcome a hardship during the early days. Both control-freak or philanthropism could succeed in their own virtuous circle but break if there is a glitch on “continual innovation” or “self-reinforce”. Therefore, the author falsely treats the despotic approach, which indeed brings specific advantage, as the cause of what Apple cry for.

I really appreciate Steve Jobs when he has long adopted the dangerous model of operating products. It risks a lot but urges great inspiration. Jobs’ policy in blocking other companies’ access to Apple’s cutting-edge would make software tightly coupled to special hardware and thus keep customers a terrific experience. Therefore Apples’ leading position in the market is prolonged until the technology being widely studied, copied and sold. During its monopolization, with high price only affordable by a small group of consumers, Apple succeeds in grasping great profit ignoring the market share. And bundles of money rushing to Apple in a short time make available a new bleeding-edge technology.
Then, new stars would be lionized and the same script would be played again.

It is not too bad for Apple to become a niche player once again when it again and again create stunning fable.

海王泪UID: 2673613

2.03-2.04

昨天几乎一整天都在外面，送行、拜访、吃饭、参观。。
回来后看到TOUCH出了新固件，就去更新，顺便放些新APPS进去，折腾了一晚。。。
还有洗一个星期的衣服，洗被单，洗衣机坏了。还要跑去别人拿甩水。。洗了4桶折腾了一晚。
结果就是，昨天没学习。。杯具地断了一天。。

今天去Center值班，放假阶段没啥事做也可以安心学习，可惜3号地扰动导致静不下心来。
背了几个LIST单词，写了两篇COMMENT，貌似也没做什么了。。。
晚上拆开洗衣机后盖，往里面一看。。。呃。。一只袜子卡在出水口处。。。

Calm down calm down...加油加油！早睡早起～

海王泪UID: 2673613

2.5-2.8 （CT30）

看到一位同学说过一句话
“帖子沉了，决心也就沉了”

嗯·· 不过，帖子虽沉，决心是没沉的··我还在努力着。。
不是没有做事情而羞怯于向大家汇报。
而是做的事情太少了以至于不好意思向大家汇报；
不是文章不敢放上来让大家改。
而是写的文章真得太Chaos害怕有辱法眼。。。

简而言之，这几天就做了这么几样东西
模考，自改，互改，BS几题Issue，分析了一些纠结的ARGU；
还有在某处清静D值班，学习。。。

海王泪UID: 2673613

对于Argument150的个人分析

https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1058734-1-1.html

Argument150-The following is a letter to the editor of an environmental magazine.
"The decline in the numbers of amphibians worldwide clearly indicates the global pollution of water and air. Two studies of amphibians in Yosemite National Park in California confirm my conclusion. In 1915 there were seven species of amphibians in the park, and there were abundant numbers of each species. However, in 1992 there were only four species of amphibians observed in the park, and the numbers of each species were drastically reduced. The decline in Yosemite has been blamed on the introduction of trout into the park's waters, which began in 1920 (trout are known to eat amphibian eggs). But the introduction of trout cannot be the real reason for the Yosemite decline because it does not explain the worldwide decline."


一、作者思路：

我的结论是“the global pollution of water and air.”全球性污染
理由是“The decline in the numbers of amphibians worldwide”
（潜台词：全球性污染是全球amphibians骤减的唯一原因）
不信你看看，“Two studies of amphibians” confirm 了我的结论
这两个STUDY嘛～说得是物种种类及个体数量的减少Balabala

但是，话说一直有人认为是Trout 鱼惹得祸～
我可不认为～～Trout 鱼顶多就害了几个小物种而已，明明就不能解释为什么全球amphibians骤减。。
（潜台词：既然Trout鱼不是全球amphibians骤减的唯一原因～那么肯定有别的什么原因，比如说是全球性污染）

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二、题目分析：

1.第一意群：提出观点（全球性污染是全球Amphibians骤减的原因）
地区Amphibians骤减（隐含假设：能说明全球Amphibians骤减）→→→全球Amphibians骤减肯定有一个全球性的因素在作祟，那就是全球性污染）

2.第二意群：提出反方观点并加以驳斥,从而证明己方观点的正确性
（既然Trout鱼不是全球Amphibians骤减的原因，那么全球性污染就是全球Amphibians骤减的原因）
Trout鱼似乎可以否定我提出的amphibians骤减的原因，但Trout鱼不可能影响其他地方不能解释全球amphibians骤减→→→全球Amphibians骤减肯定有另一个全球性的因素在作祟，那就是全球性污染

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三、逻辑陷阱（混淆点）

本题里结论实际上是“提出的一种原因”，给出的理由是“一种现象”
个人感觉出题者就是想让人在逻辑上混淆的“原因”和“理由”
使我们没清楚地区分“理由→结论”与“原因→结果（现象）”，然后在思路上转圈子。。

换句话说
原因是Cause，即一种现象一种结果的起因 （原因要么是Trout鱼、要么是全球污染，导致了Amphibians骤减这个现象）
理由是Reason,即支持一个结论一个观点的依据（理由是全球Amphibians骤减，所以肯定有一个全球性的因素在作祟，那就是全球性污染）


（不知道这样子理解对不对，欢迎拍砖～）

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