"Two years ago, the town of Ocean View built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. During the past two years, tourism in Ocean View has increased, new businesses have opened there, and Ocean View's tax revenues have risen by 30 percent. The best way to improve Hopewell's economy, and generate additional tax revenues, is to build a golf course and resort hotel similar to those in Ocean View."
the mayor suggests in this article the best way to enhance Hopewell's economy, and generate extra tax revenues, is to build a golf course and resort hotel. to substantiate his claim, the author points out tourism has increased, new business have opened and the tax revenues have risen by 30 percent in the town of Ocean View since they built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. close scrutiny of the reasoning process reveals several flawed assumptions rendering the whole argument unconvincing as it stands.
A threshold assumption upon which the proponent's conclusion relies is that the prosperity of Ocean View's economy is attributable to the construction of golf course and resort hotel. however, throughout the argument, there is no evidence can justify the assumption. perhaps there are other factors or reasons explaining the prosperity of Ocean View's economy. for instance, the local authority's policies are the real cause of the prosperity, or perhaps the resource in OW is abundant, which naturally attract investment. without considering and ruling out other alternative factor for the prosperity. the author can not convince us the golf course and resort hotel are responsible for the prosperity.
in the second place, the author unfairly assumes that the tax revenues increased due to the golf course and resort hotel. however, the author fails to justify to what extent the golf course and resort hotel contribute to the increase in tax revenues. perhaps the revenue’s increase is the result of industry development or agricultural increase. in short, if the author can not providconcrete evidence to substantiate the golf course and resort hotel are indeed largely responsible for the increase in tax revenues, we can not accept the proponent's suggestion.
last but not least. the final assumption the mayor rests on is that the Hopewell will indiscriminately benefit as the OV do if similar golf course and resort hotel can be constructed. obviously, the author fails take into account the essential difference between two towns. common sense informs us tourists can not be attracted merely by golf course and hotels. if OV has certain natural scene which is not existing in Hopewell, which might cast tremendous doubts on the mayor's suggestion and eventually the predicted profits could be compromised.
in sum, the whole argument is indefensible. to further persuade us to accept the proposed golf course and hotel. we need to know more evidence that can justify it is the golf course and resort hotel that are the real reason for the prosperity of economy and the raise in tax revenues in OV, besides, only if the two towns are essentially the same in the ways which could affect the potential markets.