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发表于 2015-7-28 20:59:02
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本帖最后由 tesolchina 于 2015-7-30 09:13 编辑
100) The following was written as a part of an application for a small-business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe.
Jazz music is extremely popular in the city of Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's annual jazz festival last summer, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Also, a number of well-known jazz musicians own homes in Monroe. Nevertheless, the nearest jazz club is over an hour away. Given the popularity of jazz in Monroe and a recent nationwide study indicating that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment, a jazz music club in Monroe would be tremendously profitable.
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
结论:
A jazz music club in Monroe would be tremendously profitable
论据:
1. Jazz music is extremely popular in the city of Monroe
(1) Over 100,000 people attended Monroe's annual jazz festival last summer
(2) The highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight.
(3) A number of well-known jazz musicians own homes in Monroe.
2. The nearest jazz club is over an hour away
3. A recent nationwide study indicating that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment
The application argues that a great amount of money can be earned by setting up a jazz music club in Monroe. Several assumptions have been made about the popularity of jazz in Moroe, the inclination to go to a nearby jazz club and the lots of money that jazz fan in Moroe would like to pay for a jazz club. It is necessary to examine the assumptions carefully in order to assess the argument.
the lots of money - the amount of money 选词
To begin with, the assumption that jazz is quiet popular in Moroe might be invalid. It is possible that the majority of people who participated in annual jazz festival in Moroe might come from other city which indicates local people might not (be) interested in the jazz festival. Besides, the possibility that only a few big fan of jazz rate the radio program and give it high scores discredit the popularity of jazz radio program. In addition, owning house in Monroe might merely because the price of house in cheap. Those jazz musicians may not even live in the city. Without further data to verify the popularity of jazz in Moroe, it is not reasonable to believe there are a large population of jazz fan in the city.
the possibility that only a few big fan of jazz rate the radio program and give it high scores discredit the popularity of jazz radio program这个可能性不靠谱
In addition, owning house in Monroe might merely because the price of house in cheap.句子结构
In addition, it is assumed that people prefer to go to the new club since the nearest jazz club (it) (is) over one hour away. However, not all people choose where to go according to the distance. The equipment, atmosphere, quality of shows and the service all always be considered as key elements for customers to decide where their favorite place is. Moreover, some people might prefer the familiar place than a new one, since they know everything and every people about there. A survey about local people's will to select a new jazz club can be helpful for evaluating the application.
according to the distance- based on 选词
every people选词
about there选词
Finally, another assumption being made is that people in Moroe would like to pay a lot in the jazz club according to the study. Nevertheless, the study is based on nationwide sampling which means it might not be applicable in Moroe. Beyond that, even if jazz fan in Moroe are willing to pay to have fun, various types of jazz entertainment existed might distract them from attending a jazz club. If their abilities to spend money on jazz club is limited, two jazz club in a region might form a competition which is so strong that none of both two can be profitable.
pay和spend的区别 选词
pay to have fun- pay to enjoy jazz
In conclusion, it is not rational to claim that a new jazz club in Moroe can earn lots of money basing on the application. More information is needed before we can check the assumptions discussed above and make a more prudent decision about the loan.
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