Tough Break (再战200610G) argument提交贴

munickyUID: 2122843

In this argument, the author draws a recommendation that the company Acme Publishing (A) should require all their employees to take the Easy Read Speed-Reading Course. To bolster his recommendation, he assumes that it is necessary for them to take this course, and points out that one of its graduates can read a five-hundred-page report and another one has become the vice president of one company. Nevertheless, careful scrutiny of these evidences reveals that this argument suffers from some logical flaws.

In the first place, the arguer’s recommendation rests on the assumption that it is necessary for those employees to take this course, however, we are not assured about that. It is not substantiated that faster one read, the more information one can get, if one’s memory is poor, then it is likely that although he can read fast, yet with nothing in his mind. In addition, even it is true that information amount absorbed is directly proportional to the reading speed, there are also possibilities that their reading speed has been fast enough, in that case, there is no need for them to take extra course which may waste lots of their working time and more money. Thus, to judge this recommendation, the arguer should provide more information about the employees’ previous reading ability.

In the second place, the evidence the arguer cited seems to be less supportive than they should be. First of all, two graduates' success can not represent that the course is useful for all their employees, on the one hand, the arguer fails to verify that the reading speed of 500 pages every two hours is much faster compared to those who dose not take this course and even to this employee’s own previous speed, on the other hand ,the author unfairly assumes no factors rather than the fast reading made the other graduates the vice presidents,. But as we know, promotion should be attributed to lots of factors, including capability of management or decision-making, perhaps his/her has made great contribution with those capability while the reading speed is poor, In short without other alternative explanations, the author can not convince me that the course is effective enough.


Finally, the author draws a hasty recommendation that all their employees of this company should take the course. Firstly, the arguer has not supplied sufficient and convincing evidence to show that this course is necessary and effective. Secondly, even though what the arguer assumes is true, there is no need for all employees to take it. Maybe some of them already has an excellent reading speed, what is more important is that the author fails to take the profit problem into consideration, if the total expense exceeds the profit this plan can bring about, then it is also unwise to carry it out. After all, pursuing advantage is the purpose of one corporation.

All in all,. this argument lacks warrantable assumption and convincing evidence. Thus, to draw a more reasonable recommendation, the author should make detailed survey about the actual reading ability of their employees. To judge this recommendation, we also need more information about this training course.

Enna_garfieldUID: 2180738

原帖由 zhulu 于 2006-7-29 10:38 发表
TOPIC: ARGUMENT17 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Walnut Grove town newspaper.

WORDS: 471          TIME: 0:30:00          DATE: 2006-7-29
＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝ ...

今天来不及给你改了(这两天都在外面), 不过你的问题和我的一样,我是看完https://bbs.gter.net/thread-416323-1-1.html以后试着写的, 现在贴上来希望对你有帮助~
我就照着这个写的, 也不知道如果都这么写会不会雷同, 汗:L
如果你有别的意见请告诉我哈~

licheewu28UID: 2131182

自己布置的作业自己写错了，本来应该是ARGU67， 不过这个也是高频，大家有兴趣就使劲拍，多谢了
TOPIC: ARGUMENT167 - A folk remedy* for insomnia, the scent in lavender flowers, has now been proved effective. In a recent study, 30 volunteers with chronic insomnia slept each night for three weeks on lavender-scented pillows in a controlled room where their sleep was monitored. During the first week, volunteers continued to take their usual sleeping medication. They slept soundly but wakened feeling tired. During the second week, the volunteers discontinued their medication. As a result, they slept less soundly than the previous week and felt even more tired. During the third week, the volunteers slept longer and more soundly than in the previous two weeks. This shows that over a short period of time lavender cures insomnia.

Strategy:
1.        the author fails to show the reliability of the cited study in different aspects: sufficient number and representative of volunteers, the study procedure, 3-week period
2.        it is necessary to review closer to the provided information of the volunteers' situation in the three weeks of the study.
3.        it is hasty to attribute curing insomnia absolutely to the remedy, after all, the argument offers no further statistics about the volunteers themselves and other possible causes.
WORDS: 535          TIME: 0:60:00          DATE: 2006-7-29

In this argument, the author reached the conclusion that lavender can cure insomnia in a short period. To prove his/her conclusion, a study involving 30 volunteers for 3 weeks is cited as evidence. However, the restricted information of the study reveals that the author's conclusion is randomly made.
To begin with, the author fails to show the reliability of the cited study in different aspects. Firstly, the number of volunteers is insufficient to support its efficiency as 30 is only an extremely small portion of population. Secondly, the volunteers are not definitely qualitatively representative of common people in that there is no specific information about their ages, genders and health states, which is of great significance to the result of the study. Thirdly, the procedure conducted in the study is fully unknown. Fourthly, three-week time might not be adequate to find out the effectiveness of the remedy. In this way, the study is unconvincingly credible.
After that, it is necessary to review closer to the provided information of the volunteers' situation in the three weeks of the study. In this aspect, the author makes incomplete and imbalanced comparison among their response in the period. On one hand, there is no other indication about their health except the sleep result, and thus it is not guaranteed that the remedy might have side effect on them so that they felt tired in the first two weeks. Meanwhile, the argument does not include the response after sleep in the third week compared with in the rest of the time. On the other hand, the reason why "the volunteers slept longer and more soundly" in the third week, is not well presented. According to their response in the first two weeks, it is completely possible that the sleeping state was owing to their tiredness aroused in the previous time. Furthermore, there is no accurate manifest of so-called "a short period of time", which could be three hours, three days, three weeks and so on. Therefore, such random comparison could not support the author's conclusion. In addition, it is hasty to attribute curing insomnia absolutely to the remedy, after all, the argument offers no further statistics about the volunteers themselves and other possible causes. For instance, the conductors might give them other medicine which could help lead to the effect of lavender. Or the volunteers could be adaptable to the environment. With these or other causes, the remedy took effect as cited. In this case, the conclusion is not well based.
Last but not least, the author ignores any possible influence of the study on the volunteers. They could probably be affected not only psychologically but also physically during being studies. For example, they could get the habit of the environment in the study so that they had a good sleep in the third week. Without taking the influence into account, the author could not prove the reliability of the study as well.
All in all, the argument is superficially deducted. Without enough data of the study like quantity and representativeness of the volunteers, the operated procedure and thorough comparison, the study is unbelievable. Also, without ruling out other causes influencing its result, the author cannot rashly draw his/her conclusion.

licheewu28UID: 2131182

自己布置的作业自己写错了，本来应该是ARGU67， 不过这个也是高频，大家有兴趣就使劲拍，多谢了
TOPIC: ARGUMENT167 - A folk remedy* for insomnia, the scent in lavender flowers, has now been proved effective. In a recent study, 30 volunteers with chronic insomnia slept each night for three weeks on lavender-scented pillows in a controlled room where their sleep was monitored. During the first week, volunteers continued to take their usual sleeping medication. They slept soundly but wakened feeling tired. During the second week, the volunteers discontinued their medication. As a result, they slept less soundly than the previous week and felt even more tired. During the third week, the volunteers slept longer and more soundly than in the previous two weeks. This shows that over a short period of time lavender cures insomnia.

Strategy:
1.the author fails to show the reliability of the cited study in different aspects: sufficient number and representative of volunteers, the study procedure, 3-week period
2. it is necessary to review closer to the provided information of the volunteers' situation in the three weeks of the study.
3. it is hasty to attribute curing insomnia absolutely to the remedy, after all, the argument offers no further statistics about the volunteers themselves and other possible causes.
WORDS: 535          TIME: 0:60:00          DATE: 2006-7-29

In this argument, the author reached the conclusion that lavender can cure insomnia in a short period. To prove his/her conclusion, a study involving 30 volunteers for 3 weeks is cited as evidence. However, the restricted information of the study reveals that the author's conclusion is randomly made.
To begin with, the author fails to show the reliability of the cited study in different aspects. Firstly, the number of volunteers is insufficient to support its efficiency as 30 is only an extremely small portion of population. Secondly, the volunteers are not definitely qualitatively representative of common people in that there is no specific information about their ages, genders and health states, which is of great significance to the result of the study. Thirdly, the procedure conducted in the study is fully unknown. Fourthly, three-week time might not be adequate to find out the effectiveness of the remedy. In this way, the study is unconvincingly credible.
After that, it is necessary to review closer to the provided information of the volunteers' situation in the three weeks of the study. In this aspect, the author makes incomplete and imbalanced comparison among their response in the period. On one hand, there is no other indication about their health except the sleep result, and thus it is not guaranteed that the remedy might have side effect on them so that they felt tired in the first two weeks. Meanwhile, the argument does not include the response after sleep in the third week compared with in the rest of the time. On the other hand, the reason why "the volunteers slept longer and more soundly" in the third week, is not well presented. According to their response in the first two weeks, it is completely possible that the sleeping state was owing to their tiredness aroused in the previous time. Furthermore, there is no accurate manifest of so-called "a short period of time", which could be three hours, three days, three weeks and so on. Therefore, such random comparison could not support the author's conclusion. In addition, it is hasty to attribute curing insomnia absolutely to the remedy, after all, the argument offers no further statistics about the volunteers themselves and other possible causes. For instance, the conductors might give them other medicine which could help lead to the effect of lavender. Or the volunteers could be adaptable to the environment. With these or other causes, the remedy took effect as cited. In this case, the conclusion is not well based.
Last but not least, the author ignores any possible influence of the study on the volunteers. They could probably be affected not only psychologically but also physically during being studies. For example, they could get the habit of the environment in the study so that they had a good sleep in the third week. Without taking the influence into account, the author could not prove the reliability of the study as well.
All in all, the argument is superficially deducted. Without enough data of the study like quantity and representativeness of the volunteers, the operated procedure and thorough comparison, the study is unbelievable. Also, without ruling out other causes influencing its result, the author cannot rashly draw his/her conclusion.

licheewu28UID: 2131182

TOPIC: ARGUMENT2 restrictions on housepainting
Strategy:
1.there is no specific comparison of the present property values of DA and B houses.
2.It is completely possible that other factors bring the improvement in B
3.the committee makes false analogy between DA and B
WORDS: 404          TIME: 0:40:00          DATE: 2006-7-30

The committee proposes in his/her letter that Deerhaven Acres (DA) should adopt a set of restrictions on landscaping and house-painting to increase the local property values. His/her evidence is based on the tripled values in Brookville (B) after the restrictions sever years ago. It seems feasible to take his proposal, but careful consideration about the connection of the evidence and the proposal reveals that what the committee claims is ungrounded.

To begin with, there is no specific comparison of the present property values of DA and B houses. If the houses values in DA are quite high, and at least higher than those of B after its restrictions, such a measure might be inefficient or even unnecessary to improve the prices of DA's houses. Since the prerequisite is unknown, we cannot confirm whether the change is necessary or not.

In the second place, the letter provides no assurance that the increased values in B are fully owing to the restrictions. It is completely possible that other factors bring the improvement in B, such as the community owning good geographical situation with convenient traffic conditions, distinguished housing styles or comfortable community environment. Without eliminating these or other causes resulting in increased values of B community, the committee could not prove function of his recommendation.

In the third place, the committee makes false analogy between DA and B. Even if B's homeowners succeeded thanks to adopting the restrictions, it is not guaranteed that what have been taken place in B would take effect as well in DA in that they could be different from each other in many aspects. Firstly, it was seven years ago that the restrictions were adopted in B, so probably the housing market has experienced great change in the past years and potential purchasers have different preferences of houses and styles. Secondly, the two communities are situated in different parts, which could have separate traffic conditions, and the communities' designs and internal facilities might vary from each other. Moreover, they could aim at different purchasers who have distinctive taste over designing styles and painting houses. These or other dissimilarities could all lead to different influences on the restrictions.

To sum up, the proposal is not necessarily popular and brings increase of the house values in DA. Without taking any difference between two communities and potential purchasers' mind into account, the author cannot make sure that the restrictions would be effective as expected.

licheewu28UID: 2131182

原帖由 municky 于 2006-7-27 22:38 发表
In this memo, the author draws a conclusion that people in the West Meria (W) should use one kind of nutritional supplement derived from the fish which is called lchthaid to prevent cold and to low ...

In this memo, the author draws a conclusion that people in the West Meria (W) should use one kind of nutritional supplement derived from the fish which is called lchthaid to prevent cold and to lower the absenteeism. To bolster his recommendation, he cited我用的一般现在时，不知道哪个对a study result that people in East Meria (E) who always eat fish visit doctor few times for colds treatment. Nevertheless, close scrutiny reveals that the evidence cited can not lend support to the  recommendation.

In the first place, failing to see the great possible distinctions between two places, the author unfairly assumes that the approach in East Meria would carry out the same result in West Meria.  It is entirely possible that the weather in E is much warmer than that in W, it is also possible that people in E always take part in exercises in the contrast with people in W who spend too much time in at work. All these possibilities may undermine the final result of the author's recommendation. Thus, he/she must provide more detailed condition in these two places.论证得真好，比我的准确又扼要。
In the second place, the author draws a causal relationship between eating fish and preventing colds, yet he/she fails to provide sufficient and convincing evidence to support it. As we know, there are millions of reasons for one person to have strong resistance of flu, just like taking exercise frequently. Thus, without eliminating any other possibilities, the author can not convince me that it is the consumption of fish that cause people in E to prevent cold.
Finally, the author draws a hasty recommendation. First of all, he/she can not verify学习一下 that eating fish which can help people in E resist colds as my previous argument said, and even can not convince that they actually do not catch cold frequently. On the one hand, we are not assured that the study has a sufficient and representative respondents, if the reporter only study those people whose living conditions are good or who always take exercise, then it can not be evidence assured to support his recommendation; on the other hand, going to the doctors few times for the treatment of colds do not follow再学习一下 that people do not always catch cold necessarily. It is likely that when they got the less serious disease, and just go to the medicine store instead of asking for treatment from the doctors the doctors for treatment, for For that matter, the author can not make the conclusion that people in E have strong resistance to colds. Secondly, even the people in E actually are harder to catch cold, and it is also the result of having fish, because there are myriads of constituents in fish, then just recommending one kind of them failing to invite好词 necessary evidence is dubious at best is dubious at best for failing to invite necessary evidence. In a word, unless the author provides more evidence, he/she can not draw such a recommendation.
To sum up, this memo suffers some logical flaws and without lacks enough evidence to verify it. So to To better support his/her recommendation, the author should do more detailed study to make clear the actual health condition of people in E and true reason for the resistance of cold. To judge the recommendation, I also need the research result of the function of such nutrition so-called lchthaid.
少了一点，没提到absenteeism

Enna_garfieldUID: 2180738

原帖由 municky 于 2006-7-28 23:54 发表
In this argument, the arguer draws a recommendation that people who are seeking for writing jobs should be trained to write for the television program instead of the book for the reason that a stud ...

24号的作业argu220   

In this argument, the arguer draws a recommendation that people who are seeking for writing jobs should be trained to write for the television program instead of the book for the reason that a study shows that people always talk watching TV more than reading fiction. However, close scrutiny reveals that this recommendation lacks convincing evidence to support.最后这句是不是缺了一点，要不然为什么要支持论据呢？
First and foremost, the recommendation rests on the assumption that the more people like one thing, the more they would talk about it in their conversation. But we are not assured about it. It is entirely possible that when people meet each other, they always complain about how terrible the current television programs are. It is also likely that they exchange their ideas about the bad influence those programs bring to their kids. In a words,改成 in words 或者in a word there are millions of topics about television, without detailed study about people's typical day's conversation, the arguer's assumption is unwarranted.

Secondly, the evidence cited to support the recommendation also suffer from some logical flaws. On the one hand, we are not assured that the study has sufficient and representative respondents, if it just surveys those housewives whose daily lives are taken by television,用的很恰当 then this study is not supportive. On the other hand, referring fewer times about the fiction reading does not follow that people also fail to like fiction 喜欢什么好象谈不上失败~后面的也是or talk about other kinds of books. As we know, the fiction book mainly attracts those teenagers whose daily talks refer to sports; fashion; movie or music stars, which always shown on TV, and which can bring them more common topics, rather than their private time, so those teenagers would talk about television more, but they would still like the fiction. Even though the fiction is fewer times referred, it is also possible that people would talk some other kinds of publishes more, just like the head-line news on the newspaper or something else. 有用的表达Thus, as the arguer fails to rule out all these possibilities, the evidence cited can not lend support to author's assumption and recommendation.论证简明扼要，好好学习一下~Finally, the arguer also draws a hasty conclusion and recommendation. In the first place, even though people like the TV programs better, the publishing and bookselling industries may not be decline 两个动词去掉be 好一点 in profitability necessarily. Since there is no evidence to show that people will stop buying publishes, after all, television and publishes provide different entertainment, no one would rather stick on one thing all the time, which may make he/she feel boring. And because the profitability of publishing or book industry comes from both the selling and advertising, all these possibilities would undermine the arguer's conclusion. In the second place, even if the selling of publishing decline, the newspaper would still need writers to provide articles. For there is no possibility that all publish industries bankrupt during one night, then the author's recommendation is dubious at best. 新颖的角度~ 不过觉得以不可能一夜都破产来作为理由有点牵强， 顺着提到报纸就说它的不可能消失好象更好~
To sum up, the arguer made a recommendation rests on a unsubstantiated assumption and some flawed evidence, for that matter, the arguer need to provide more detailed study on people's actual preference. To better judge the conclusion and recommendation, we also need more information of the selling situation of the book and publishing industries.
开头结尾都值得学习，正文除有一些指代不明显的地方和小错误以外，很不错的文章~

Enna_garfieldUID: 2180738

180The following is a recommendation from the personnel director to the president of Acme Publishing Company. "Many other companies have recently stated that having their employees take the Easy Read Speed-Reading Course has greatly improved productivity. One graduate of the course was able to read a five-hundred-page report in only two hours; another graduate rose from an assistant manager to vice president of the company in under a year. Obviously, the faster you can read, the more information you can absorb in a single workday. Moreover, Easy Read costs only $500 per employee—a small price to pay when you consider the benefits to Acme. Included in this fee is a three-week seminar in Spruce City and a lifelong subscription to the Easy Read newsletter. Clearly, Acme would benefit greatly by requiring all of our employees to take the Easy Read course."

In this article, the author contends that Acme Company should require all of employees to take the Easy Read course (ERc) to benefit from the fast reading speed therefore the high productivity of graduates. To support his argument, he provides two examples of positive outcome of taking such courses and cites cost and additional services of ERc. However, this passage suffers from several critical false as follows and thus cannot be convincing.

First, the two examples cited by the author substantiate nothing but various possibilities. It is entirely possible that the graduate who is able to read five hundreds of pages in two hours is more talented and skillful than others in fast reading because of personal capacity, rather than training offered by ERc. Besides, without any reliable data or report concerning how the speed of this person compared with average people, I remain doubt about the course' help. What is more, the promotion of another graduate cannot be used to illustrate the effect of ERc on account of numerous reasons other than his surprising reading speed. Perhaps the company this person works in is quite small and develops more rapidly than ordinary cooperation, in that most of employees in low level would be raised into ceiling-level within one year. Or perhaps the graduate are not only excel in reading material but also superior than other workers such as certifications, working experience and personal relationship etc, which is more important than the former reason for company leaders to decide whether to promote him. Accompanied by these possibilities, merely relying on examples in the article cannot draw the conclusion about ERc's usefulness.

Second, the author commit the mistake of false analogy between many other companies and Acme, which might be totally different both in production methods and personnel's requirement with those advocating ERc due to its satisfying consequence in improving productivity. For instance, if Acme is an institution expert in assembling and fixing mechanisms like motors, the most desirable way for Acme to lift its productivity of its assembler is sending them to some special courses aiming at training proficient activity in cooperation process, not reading courses like ERc. In addition, maybe other companies are located near the place of taking ERc, which is so far from Acme that sending all employees to take this train would be all-consuming to be practical. In a word, unless the author proves that Acme is significantly similar with those companies claiming effective result of ERc, this recommendation is not as believable than it seems.

In the final place, even if we accept that two cases mentioned above is owning to ERc and Acme is
sufficiently alike with other companies benefiting from ERc to receive further revenue in production, it would be too haste for the author to rationalize the cost of ERc and its subsidiary service. Compared with $500 per person, it would be improper for Acme to require employees to take this course if the potential benefit is disproportionably low. Even future profit is large enough to afford it for some special personnel, say secretaries, indiscriminately spreading the demand of ERc to all employees would be unnecessary and not worth the effort. Furthermore, no evidence provided can serve to indicate the value of additional options. All there shortcomings together weak the conclusion in the article.

To sum up, the author not only fails to show that ERc does function well in people's productivity therefore personal ability but also provides no evidence regarding common trait of Acme and other companies. Aside from overcoming these problems, the author should illustrate the necessity of asking all employees to attend this course given foreseeable gains in the future.

Enna_garfieldUID: 2180738

2.The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.

"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting."

The author recommends that in order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres (DA) homeowners should adopt a set of restrictions concerning on landscaping and housepainting, which is said useful in exerting such influence on Brookville' house. Nonetheless, careful examination reveals that this letter is based on a series of unsupported assumption and false analogy, which render it unpersuasive as it stands.

The first and foremost reason why this article is not convincing as the author claims is that there is no evidence provided could illustrate the relationship between the implement of restriction of landscaping and exterior color of houses in Brookville and the rising of houses' price there. Many possible causes exist in that the author fails to eliminate other probable explanations. For example, maybe in the past seven years Brookville has experienced significant influx of labor thus the consequently elevation in apartment cost. Or, perhaps the supply of commodity house is diminished sharply due to government regulation or limited land, accordingly the price of available house would increase to the matched level. The author even provides no powerful fact regarding the true condition about the implement of such rules. In a word, without ruling out other possibilities have something do with the price of lodging, the author's contention cannot be relied on free from reservation.

Even assuming that placing such restriction on special exterior looks of housing does have positive effect on promoting property values in Brookville, another critical element should not be omitted on account of its importance in deciding the validity of this recommendation, which is time. It is clear that a span of seven years is long enough to experience something different in some aspects relating with the price of real estate. Understandably factors that are responsible for rising value of the property yesterday could cause devaluation of same thing tomorrow. Failing to take the changes happening in such a long period, the author also could hardly justify his further deduction basing on this precondition.

Finally, even if we acknowledge all assumption above it does not mean that DA will develop strictly according to the path of Brookville due to possible difference in these two towns. For that matter, if the landscape of the whole Brookville town is colorful and irregular therefore its newly established houses, compelling adopting similar appearance for various housing would help reduce the feeling of mix and match. However, if DA is naturally in order for both buildings and view, simulating such doing would make DA looks more tedious and boring. Moreover, residents living in DA might prefer more diversified color and style for their house, which maybe is very abnormal in Brookville and makes the author's suggestion unfeasible in DA.

In sum, merely basing on the current condition of Brookville to predict that similar success will happen in DA is unsubstantiated in the letter. To support his claim, the author must provide more information that unified semblances of houses in Brookville is the major reason for their high price and remain unchanged in seven years. Furthermore, adequate comparison must be took to indicate that DA and Brookville resemble each other enough to make sure that the same result will take place in DA.

licheewu28UID: 2131182

The argument seems well-presented, but not well reasoned. 喜欢这样的句子In the argument, the arguer attempts to convince us the recommendation of adopting a new kind of copper-extracting technologies so that the amount of electricity used by industry to decline significantly. To support the conclusion, the arguer cites the weakness of traditional way of copper-extracting, and the advantages of new method over the old one. As it stands, the argument suffers from Good several critical fallacies.

In the first place, the arguer cited that the conventional method need large amount of electric energy. The large amount is not an exact figure to express the proportion of electric energy in the total expense of Copper exaction. It may be the fact that the electric energy needed for copper extraction only stand for 0.1 percent in the total cost of electricity of copper-extraction industry because there are also many other alternatives which also cost high amount of electricity in copper-extraction industry, such as electronic transportation, electronic chemicals preparing and so on.  Accordingly, even though the optimization of extracting technologies is so successful that the electricity used by the copper-extraction industry could not be declined significantly. 电量成本在总成本所占比例对总成本影响不大，这点真没想到，赞！
In the second place, the arguer assumes the advantage of new method in that new method use up to 40 percent less than older method to process the same amount of raw ore, especially when the proportion of copper in the ore is high. Firstly, although the new method saves much energy of electricity, the effect of copper-extraction may be less significant and convincing than the older method. However, the older method takes the full advantage of electricity to extract the copper in the best quality which is widely accepted and sold. Secondly, the new method might only work and save electricity when the proportion of copper in the ore is high. The method It may cost much more electricity than the conventional method one when the proportion of copper in the ore is relatively lower in some certain places. Then the new method one not only cannot save electricity, but also cost much more electricity to achieve copper-extraction cost much more electricity instead of saving the energy to ….
In the third place, the arguer draws the conclusion hastily that the electricity of the copper-extraction is expected to decline significantly when the new method is applied. The arguer render few amount of information of the method, although the new method it cost less electricity than the new method old one, it may cost much more electricity in other facets when the new method is really adopted. For example, the new method needs much more chemicals of solution to get better effect of exaction which needs much more electricity to achieve.  这里应该可以和上面一段合并，都是讲的新老技术对比问题。
还有一点是新技术应用的可能性,如果新技术被运用的条件不存在，降低成本的前提就不存在了.
To sum up, the argument lack credibility to support what the arguer claims here. To make the conclusion more convincing, the arguer should render more information about the exact proportion of copper exaction in the whole copper-exaction industry. Moreover, the arguer also needs to provide the comparison between older method and new technology in the facet of processing different kinds of raw minerals whose proportion of copper ranks from low to high. Otherwise, the argument is logically unacceptable. 结尾很圆满，值得学习
层次清晰，用词恰当，句子也都不错。值得学习！

[ 本帖最后由 licheewu28 于 2006-7-31 14:24 编辑 ]

Enna_garfieldUID: 2180738

原帖由 licheewu28 于 2006-7-30 13:29 发表
自己布置的作业自己写错了，本来应该是ARGU67， 不过这个也是高频，大家有兴趣就使劲拍，多谢了
TOPIC: ARGUMENT167 - A folk remedy* for insomnia, the scent in lavender flowers, has now been proved effec ...

In this argument, the author reached the conclusion that lavender can cure insomnia in a short period. To prove his/her conclusion, a study involving 30 volunteers for 3 weeks is cited as evidence. However, the restricted information of the study reveals that the author's conclusion is randomly made.
To begin with, the author fails to show the reliability of the cited study in different aspects. Firstly, the number of volunteers is insufficient to support its efficiency as 30 is only an extremely small portion of population. Secondly, the volunteers are not definitely qualitatively representative of common people in that there is no specific information about their ages, genders and health states, which is of great significance to the result of the study. 简洁清楚~Thirdly, the procedure conducted in the study is fully unknown. Fourthly, three-week time might not be adequate to find out the effectiveness of the remedy. In this way, the study is unconvincingly credible.
After that, it is necessary to review closer to the provided information of the volunteers' situation in the three weeks of the study. In this aspect, the author makes incomplete and imbalanced comparison among their response in the period. On one hand, there is no other indication about their health except the sleep result, and thus it is not guaranteed that the remedy might have side effect on them so that they felt tired in the first two weeks.是不是应该反过来说呢？你说的治疗应该是花草味道吧？所以是有可能有副作用的吧？ Meanwhile, the argument does not include the response after sleep in the third week compared with in the rest of the time. On the other hand, the reason why "the volunteers slept longer and more soundly" in the third week, is not well presented. According to their response in the first two weeks, it is completely possible that the sleeping state was owing to their tiredness aroused in the previous time. Furthermore, there is no accurate manifest of so-called "a short period of time", which could be three hours, three days, three weeks and so on. Therefore, such random comparison could not support the author's conclusion. In addition, it is hasty to attribute curing insomnia absolutely to the remedy, after all, the argument offers no further statistics about the volunteers themselves and other possible causes. For instance, the conductors might give them other medicine which could help lead to the effect of lavender. 这里的功效还不能确定是花草的吧Or the volunteers could be adaptable to the environment. With these or other causes, the remedy took effect 像这样的词组应该多积累as cited. In this case, the conclusion is not well based.
Last but not least, the author ignores any possible influence of the study on the volunteers. They could probably be affected not only psychologically but also physically 觉得这两个方面倒过来比较好 during being studies. For example, they could get the habit of the environment in the study so that they had a good sleep in the third week. Without taking the influence into account, the author could not prove the reliability of the study as well.
All in all, the argument is superficially deducted. Without enough data of the study like quantity and representativeness of the volunteers, the operated procedure and thorough comparison, the study is unbelievable. Also, without ruling out other causes influencing its result, the author cannot rashly draw his/her conclusion. 最后这段很好~其实这篇很难写的，你写的不错了.一般我遇到这样的都觉得无从下手….. 吱吱你觉得它那个三周的情况还可以做更多分析吗? 貌似很多错误, 想说清楚却没那么容易, 唉

munickyUID: 2122843

In this argument, the arguer draws a recommendation that the library in Polluxton(P) and in Castorville(C) should be merged in one just as the garbage collection department in these two places did. To bolster this recommendation, the arguer assumes that this approach works well for the new department has reported that they received fewer complaints about their service. However, close scrutiny reveals that this argument suffers from some logical flaws described as following.

First and foremost, the arguer assumes that this method is an effective one and worthy trying, yet he fails to provide sufficient and convincing evidence to support. The only fact that there is fewer complaints about their service can not lend credibility to this assumption. For maybe citizens in these two places has adapted to their poor service and consider that it is useless to complain, in that case, we can not see this method is a good one. Furthermore, even if the service of the new department has been improved and most people have been satisfied with it, it can not indicate it works well either, for as we know the most important work for the garbage collection department is to raise tax. But the author fails to provide information about whether the new department can collect more tax and reverse the sharp tax collecting declines experienced in these two place, if the decline is not caused by dissatisfaction of citizen in the two place, then I can not be convinced that their tax raising has also been improved.

Secondly, even though this approach is fit for the garbage collection department, it is unfair to assume that it can carry out the same result in library. On the one hand, there is not indication that the decline of readers is also caused by the library's failing to satisfy readers, if not, then it can not be affirmed that merging can help two libraries to attract readers back just as the garage collection department did. On the other hand, there are great distinctions between tax colleting department and library. Common sense informs me that a successful library should provide comprehensive and sufficient books which cover all subjects. If these two libraries fail to supply such conditions, no matter what good service they can give, I will still doubt about the effectiveness of the method applied to garbage collect department.

Finally, the arguer draws a hasty recommendation. First of all, he/she can not verify that it is a useful way when it is applied to libraries. Second, even if it does so, failing to do more detailed survey and study about the transportation, culture or education condition of these two places and  condition of hard piece apparatus of their libraries, it can not be concluded that the library in should be closed while using the library in C. If the transportation or book collection in C is poor, then I can not see it is wise to carry out the arguer's recommendation.

To sum, the arguer's recommendation lacks necessary evidence to support and rests on unwarranted assumption. Thus, to better illustrate it is efficient to carry out it, the arguer should do more study on the actual reason of the decline if reader number in two libraries. To judge this recommendation, we also need more information of the condition of these two places.

munickyUID: 2122843

原帖由 Enna_garfield 于 2006-7-31 01:58 发表
180The following is a recommendation from the personnel director to the president of Acme Publishing Company. "Many other companies have recently stated that having their employees take the Ea ...

In this article, the author contends that Acme Company should require all of employees to take the Easy Read course (ERc) to benefit from the fast reading speed therefore the high productivity of graduates. To support his argument, he provides two examples of positive outcome of taking such courses and cites cost and additional services of ERc. However, this passage suffers from several critical false as follows and thus cannot be convincing.

First, the two examples cited by the author substantiate nothing but various possibilities. It is entirely possible that the graduate who is able to read five hundreds of pages in two hours is more talented and skillful than others in fast reading because of personal capacity, rather than training offered by ERc. Besides, without any reliable data or report concerning how the speed of this person compared with average people, I remain doubt about the course' help（有些中式英语的味道，再斟酌斟酌）. What is more, the promotion of another graduate cannot be used to illustrate the effect of ERc on account of [/color`numerous reasons other than his surprising reading speed. Perhaps the company this person works in is quite small and develops more rapidly than ordinary cooperation, in that[/color]（应该是 in that case  吧） most of employees in low level would be raised into ceiling-level within one year. Or perhaps the graduate are not only excel in reading material but also superior than other workers such as certifications, working experience and personal relationship etc, which is more important than the former reason for company leaders to decide whether to promote him. Accompanied by these possibilities, merely relying on examples in the article cannot draw the conclusion about ERc's usefulness.

Second, the author commit （用得好，赞！）the mistake of false analogy between many other companies and Acme, which might be totally different both in production methods and personnel's requirement with those advocating ERc due to its satisfying consequence in improving productivity. For instance, if Acme is an institution expert in assembling and fixing mechanisms like motors, the most desirable way for Acme to lift its productivity of its assembler is sending them to some special courses aiming at training proficient activity in cooperation process, not reading courses like ERc.（题目首行已经说明了Acme 是publishing company, 我已用红字给你标出，对第一行的文字还是不能忽视的，否则范这种错就太不值了。） In addition, maybe other companies are located near the place of taking ERc, which is so far from Acme that sending all employees to take this train would be all-consuming to be practical. In a word, unless the author proves that Acme is significantly similar with those companies claiming effective result of ERc, this recommendation is not as believable than it seems.

In the final place, even if we accept that two cases mentioned above is owning to ERc and Acme is
sufficiently alike with other companies benefiting from ERc to receive further revenue in production, it would be too haste for the author to rationalize the cost of ERc and its subsidiary service. Compared with $500 per person, it would be improper for Acme to require employees to take this course if the potential benefit is disproportionably low. Even future profit is large enough to afford it for some special personnel, say secretaries, indiscriminately spreading the demand of ERc to all employees would be unnecessary and not worth the effort. Furthermore, no evidence provided can serve to indicate the value of additional options. All there shortcomings together weak the conclusion in the article.

To sum up, the author not only fails to show that ERc does function well in people's productivity therefore personal ability but also provides no evidence regarding common trait of Acme and other companies. Aside from overcoming these problems, the author should illustrate the necessity of asking all employees to attend this course given foreseeable gains in the future.
全文错误论证很清楚，有些小错多加注意。

zhuluUID: 2134300

TOPIC: ARGUMENT38 - The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.  

"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
WORDS: 575          TIME: 0:30:00          DATE: 2006-7-29
====================================
Strategy:
1.colds may not be the true reason why people are absent;
2.arguer unfairly draws the linkage between getting cold and eating fish;
3.the most active element in fish which could effectively prevent from getting colds may not be lchthaid
====================================

The argument seems so well presented and plausible, but not well reasoned at all. In the argument, the arguer attempts to convince us the recommendation of daily use of lchthaid in order to prevent colds and lower absenteeism. To support the conclusion, the arguer cited a study that reports about the high fish consumption in nearby East Meria, as well as the fact that people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for treatment of colds. Then the arguer makes a conclusion that eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. As it stands, the argument suffers from several critical fallacies.

In the first place, although colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, those people who are absent from school or work may not really catch cold. Excuse is one thing, practical situation is another thing. It may be the fact that those people prefer to be absent for some other more important and interesting matter which persuades them to fake a excuse that they catch cold. Perhaps due to some vitally attracting football game and interesting TV programs drive the students and worker to be absent. Therefore, colds may not be the actual reason for absences.

In the second place, the arguer unfairly makes a linkage between eating fish and preventing from colds. Admittedly, there are many other alternatives which may lead to low rate of visiting doctor for treatment of colds. Firstly, the people in the nearby East Meria get used to catching colds and they have already a great amount of medicine to resist colds. Then they need not to visit treatment of colds. Secondly, those people in nearby East Meria would prefer to do exercising as a manner all over the region. Therefore, the people would be less possible to catch colds there than West Meria. Thirdly, another kind of food, suppose it is a new kind of cabbage which is also highly consumed in East Meria. The cabbage could help the people in East Meria to prevent cold. Accordingly, fish consumption might not be connected with treatment of colds.

In the third place, the arguer unfairly assumes that lchthaid could prevent colds and lover absenteeism. There are countless chemical element in fish oil. Although eating fish is the key reason for the lower rate of colds in nearby East Meria. It may be the fact that the element A, or B, or C, or C could prevent colds and lead to lower absenteeism. On the contrary, the lchthaid might be less effective and useful to treat colds. On the other hand, daily use of lchthaid is vague concept. A substantial amount of fish cannot be equaled with daily use of lchthaid. It may be the fact that using lchthaid twice a day could be enough for preventing colds.

To sum up, the argument lack sufficient evidence which is strong enough to support what the arguer conclude in the argument. To make the conclusion more convincing, the arguer should hold a survey to investigate the true reason of absenteeism in the West Meria region. Moreover, the arguer should also confirm whether eating is the key reason of lower rate of colds, and provide certain credibility to prove the linkage between eating fish and lower rate of colds. Finally, the arguer should render testify or authentic certification that prove lchthaid is the active element to prevent colds. Otherwise, the argument is logically unacceptable.










TOPIC: ARGUMENT220 - The following appeared in an article in a magazine for writers.

"A recent study showed that in describing a typical day's conversation, people make an average of 23 references to watching television and only 1 reference to reading fiction. This result suggests that, compared with the television industry, the publishing and bookselling industries are likely to decline in profitability. Therefore, people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media."
WORDS: 459          TIME: 0:30:00          DATE: 2006-7-29
====================================
Strategy:
1. The validity of the study is open to doubt.
2. The arguer unfairly draws the connnection between conversation and choosing careers. How could conversation be referred as a criterion for choosing careers?
3. false analogy: television industry cannot be euqalled as writting for TV; publishing and bookselling industries cannot also be equalled as writting for print media.
====================================
怎么说那，这个argu220还是很难的，错误的地方太多，每段都不好概括！
The argument seems so well-presented and plausible, but not well-reasoned at all. In the argument, the arguer attempts to convince us the recommendation that people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media. To support the conclusion, the arguer cited a study that references to watching TV takes up 23 out of 24, and reference to reading fiction just hold 1 out of 24.  As it stands, the argument suffers from several critical fallacies.

In the first place, the validity of the recent study is open to doubt. How could those responders represent for the whole people. Firstly, conversation cannot represent for the whole content in civilization in a nation. It may be the fact that the responders in the study are inclined to talking about and referring to TV programs. As a matter of fact, TV might hold a neglectable part of the whole entity of human beings' civilization. Secondly, the arguer only provides such vague figure of 23 and 1. It may be the fact that watching TV holds just 1 percent in the whole live of human beings although it is referred for 23 times. Thirdly, the study is held recently. Although the result is authentic in these few days, the situation might change in a few months in the future.

In the second place, the arguer unfairly cited that a typical day's conversation of watching television and reading fiction could be related with choosing careers. How could conversation be a criterion which decides people's careers? On the one hand, there also many other alternatives which people would refer to. It may be the fact that the topic of internet might hold the 50 percent in the conversation, but internet is not cited by the arguer. On the other hand, although the rate of references of watching TV is higher than reading fiction, it does not mean the fact that the writing for television would surpass print media in the future. It may be the fact that writing for print media has a big profit although the bookselling industries are less profitable. Although publishing and bookselling industries would decline in the future, it may be the fact that government is supposed to support those writers who write for print media.

In the third place, the arguer assumes that the publishing bookselling industries are likely to decline in profitability. Reading fiction cannot represent for the whole publishing and bookselling industries. It may be the fact that fiction holds only 0.1 percent in all the bookselling industries. On the contrary, novels and magazines might increase in the future.

To sum up, the argument has not sufficient evidence to support what the arguer claims here. To make the conclusion more convincing, the arguer should provide  
出于这样的考虑，发现220越写越头痛，越写越发现自己走火入魔，局面失去控制，心力交瘁，重写！

TOPIC: ARGUMENT220 - The following appeared in an article in a magazine for writers.

"A recent study showed that in describing a typical day's conversation, people make an average of 23 references to watching television and only 1 reference to reading fiction. This result suggests that, compared with the television industry, the publishing and bookselling industries are likely to decline in profitability. Therefore, people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media."
WORDS: 670          略超时

In the argument, the arguer attempts to convince us the fact that people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training an experience in writing for TV rather than for print media. To support the conclusion, the arguer cites a study that watching TV is referred for 23 times while reading fiction is referred for only 1 time. Moreover, the arguer assumes that TV industry is much more convincing than publishing and bookselling industries. The argument seems so well-presented and plausible, but not well-reasoned at all. As it stands, the arguer suffers from several critical fallacies.

In the first place, the validity of the study is open to doubt. In the first place, conversation may not be the best and most authoritative criterion to comment whether a industry is profitable or not. There are many other factors in Economics which could be referred as criterion, such as rate of profits versus cost, average income, taxing of the industry, financial support from the government and so on. In the second place, although watching TV is referred for 23 times and reading fiction is referred for only 1 time, it does mean the fact that the TV industry is better than publishing and bookselling industry. The higher times of TV's being referred could only mean the fact that watching TV is a quite hot topic in the group of people. It cannot be equaled as whether a industry is prosperous or not. In the third place, the responders in the study may not represent for the whole community in the society. It may be the fact that the group of the responders is comprised of people who love watching TV very much by chance. Accordingly, the study cannot offer sufficient support to the arguer’s conclusion.

In the second place, the arguer makes several critical false analogy between few concepts. On the one hand, although watching TV is referred for 23 times, it  cannot be equaled with the industry of TV; although reading fiction cannot be equaled with the publishing and bookselling industry. The linkage between watching TV and TV industry is not obvious and significant; the connection between watching fiction and publishing and bookselling is not well-proved. There are too many uncertainty between these analogies. It may be the fact that TV industry is actually not convincing as the arguer assumed, although the reference is higher, because the income of the TV may be only from advertisement without any subsist from government and public. On the other hand, perhaps the publishing and bookselling industries are quite convincing because public and government invest a great amount of financial support into the occupation. Additionally, there are many kinds of books in the world besides fiction. It may be the fact that all the other kinds of books are sold quite well except fiction. Consequently, the conclusion is based on false analogy between watching TV and TV industry and between reading fiction and publishing and bookselling.

In the third place, the arguer hastily draws the conclusion that writing for TV is more convincing than for print media. Firstly, there are many occupations concerning TV industry. Although the TV industry may be profitable, the concerning careers cannot be all convincing. It may be the fact that writing is less popular than writing for publish and print media. Secondly, although writing for TV may be much more profitable than writing for print media. Those requirements needed by TV industry for those applicant may be basic pre-training in the field of print media, because writing for print media may be the elementary skill for writing TV. Therefore, the recommendation may not be reasonable to accept.

To sum up, the evidence cited by the arguer cannot render strong enough support to what the arguer claims here. To make the conclusion more convincing, the arguer should provide more detailed information about the evaluation of TV industry and publishing and bookselling industry. The connection between writing and those industries should also be clarified. Otherwise, the argument is logically unacceptable.







TOPIC: ARGUMENT180 - The following is a recommendation from the personnel director to the president of Acme Publishing Company.

"Many other companies have recently stated that having their employees take the Easy Read Speed-Reading Course has greatly improved productivity. One graduate of the course was able to read a five-hundred-page report in only two hours; another graduate rose from an assistant manager to vice president of the company in under a year. Obviously, the faster you can read, the more information you can absorb in a single workday. Moreover, Easy Read costs only $500 per employee-a small price to pay when you consider the benefits to Acme. Included in this fee is a three-week seminar in Spruce City and a lifelong subscription to the Easy Read newsletter. Clearly, Acme would benefit greatly by requiring all of our employees to take the Easy Read course."
WORDS: 524          TIME: 0:30:00          DATE: 2006-7-31
＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝
Strategy:
1.the validity of the example of these two graduates from the Speed-Reading Course cited by the arguer is open to doubt.
2.the arguer hastily draws the conclusion that the more one can read, the more information one could absorb in a single workday.
3.although unrelated benefit and seemingly low price are cited by the arguer, they might have no strong linkage with the final purpose.
＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝

In the argument, the arguer attempts to convince us the recommendation that Acme would benefit greatly by requiring all of their employees to take the Easy Read. To support the conclusion, the arguer cites that examples of two graduates from the Speed-Reading Course. Moreover, the arguer also refers to the seemly relative low price and accessory benefit. The argument seems so well presented and plausible, but not well-reasoned at all. As it stands, the argument is suffered from several critical fallacies as following aspects.

In the first place, the validity of the example of these two graduates from the Speed-Reading Course cited by the arguer is open to doubt. Firstly, one graduate could read a 500 pages report i only two hours. It may be the fact that the five-hundred-page report is so easy that anybody could read during only two hours or less. Secondly, another graduate rose from an assistant manager to vice president of the company in under a year. There are many alternatives which would result in the rise of the graduate. It may be the fact that the graduate's work has no business with Speed Reading, and the graduate's diligent performance in the year in certain facet leads to the rise. Thirdly, even though the two graduates are quite successful and their successful results are attributed to the Speed-Reading Course. The two successful results may happen in thousands of graduates. The rate of success resulted by the Speed-Reading Course may be too low to make the conclusion enough convincing. Accordingly, the examples cannot render sufficient support to the conclusion.

In the second place, the arguer hastily draws the conclusion that the more one can read, the more information one could absorb in a single workday. There are many factors which would affect the efficiency of absorbing information, such as intelligence quality, the difficulty level of the information, the expression model of information resource, etc. It may be the fact that speed could only hold a slight and neglectable part. Perhaps, the faster one read, the less one could remember. Finally, employees are comprised with various kinds. And many employees would never need to read fast in their jobs. Therefore, considering only speed as the key fact would not be a strong evidence to sustain the conclusion.

In the third place, although unrelated benefit and seemingly low price are cited by the arguer, they might have no strong linkage with the final purpose. The final aim cited by the arguer is to improve productivity. On the one hand, the arguer cites that $500 per one employee is a small price compared with the benefit of the project. The total number of the company would be a surprising figure, and the benefit earned in the plan would be never balance the cost. On the other hand, the accessory benefit, such as a three-week seminar in Spruce City might do nothing to the purpose of improving productivity. Consequently, the evidence what the arguer claims about the price and a lifelong subscription of a magazine, would be unconcerned with the main topic of the argument.

To sum up, the argument has no sufficient evidence to offer support what the arguer claims here. To make the conclusion more convincing, the arguer should provide more details about the Speed-Reading program about the result of graduates. Moreover, the linkage of Speed-Reading and improving productivity should be clarified. Otherwise, the argument is logically unacceptable.

licheewu28UID: 2131182

原帖由 zhulu 于 2006-7-29 10:38 发表
TOPIC: ARGUMENT17 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Walnut Grove town newspaper.

WORDS: 471          TIME: 0:30:00          DATE: 2006-7-29
＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝ ...

The argument seems so well-presented and clarified, but not reasonable at all. 这个开头要学一下In this argument, the arguer attempts to convince us that the town council is mistaken and we should continue using EZ instead of ABC waste. To support the conclusion, the arguer cites the fact that EZ collects trash twice a week, while ABC just collects once. What's more, the arguer mentions that EZ has a fleet of 20 trucks and ordered additional trucks. Moreover, the arguer also refers to a survey which provides a result that 80 percent of respondents was satisfied with EZ. As it stands, the argument suffers from several critical fallacies.

In the first place, the arguer assumes that the EZ's performance is better than ABC because EZ collects twice and ABC collects only once. There is only one criterion to comment whether the EZ's performance is better than ABC or not. It ,which把两个很相关的句子联系起来 is the public sanitation situation after collecting trash. It may be the fact that EZ collects more frequently than ABC, but the workers of EZ are so careless that a great amount of trash is still left without being removed. Additionally, ABC's workers collect trash so thoroughly and carefully that they need not to collect once more in a week because public is quite satisfied for their job.

In the second place, the arguer cited that EZ has a fleet of 20 trucks and has不需要了 ordered additional trucks. Although the trcuks of EZ have the same model as ABC's trucks, it does not mean the fact that EZ also had the same performance as ABC. It may be the fact that EZ's drivers are less sophisticated and skilled in driving and getting rid of trucks. And EZ's truck always work less efficiently.  Accordingly, the excuse of EZ's truck cannot be a strong evidence to support the conclusion.

Moreover, the arguer finally refers to a vital survey that renders a result that 80 percent of respondents to last year's town survey不需要 agreed with EZ's performance. Firstly, admittedly EZ's performance is quite convincing in the last year, it does not mean that EZ will also do good job in the future. Considering the developing tendency of a company will be much more necessary and imperative than commenting its former achievement. Secondly, the responders represent so vague  representativeness is so vague that they cannot stand for the majority of the public. It may be the fact that the responders prefer to EZ's performance without comparing EZ with ABC by chance这个词用得不好，给人感觉不可靠，可以说when they have no chance to be familiar with ABC’s performance. From the analysis of the two facets above, the survey also lack validity to prove the conclusion.
我不知道怎么把2000涨价到2500，和逻辑错误联系起来——我就是说说我自己对这一点的论证：可能EZ在涨价后提供的服务和涨价前没什么提高或改善，那就说明他们的涨价不合理；或者政府部门目前没有足够的财力支付太高的费用。
To sum up, due to the less convincing evidence and equivocal survey, the argument lack credibility to support what the arguer claims here. To make the conclusion more convincing, more information should be concerned with comparison between EZ and ABC in many facet such as evaluation of clearness after collecting trash, price, popularity, and so on.  Additionally, a survey should be held toward the people who are more general and representative. Otherwise, the argument is logically unacceptable.结尾圆满。
总的来说很不错，没有什么大的语法错误，层次也清楚，不少地方值得好好学习