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Argu 100
100) The following was written as a part of an application for a small-business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe.
Jazz music is extremely popular in the city of Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's annual jazz festival last summer, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Also, a number of well-known jazz musicians own homes in Monroe. Nevertheless, the nearest jazz club is over an hour away. Given the popularity of jazz in Monroe and a recent nationwide study indicating that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment, a jazz music club in Monroe would be tremendously profitable.
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
In the application, the developer argues that a jazz music club would be a promising business in Monroe because of the popularity of the jazz music and willingness of jazz fans to spend on jazz entertainment. In order to evaluation the application, we need to scrutinize the implicit or explicit assumptions about the popularity of jazz music, the wiliness to join the newly opened jazz club and the budgets of jazz fans in Monroe.
你这个应该是按照1+3模型来写的吧? 你之前考的时候是怎么写的。可否介绍一下?如果想了解你之前为什么考得不理想就需要看看你之前是怎么写的。
At first, the applicants unfairly assume the popularity of Jazz music merely based on the number of people attending the annual festival, the popularity of ‘Jazz nightly’, and the well-known musician lived in Monroe. Attending the Monroe’s jazz festive fall does not necessarily means that they are Jazz fans living in Monroe. It is entirely possible that those people are actually coming from the other cities. They choose to attend the jazz festival in Monroe because of the availability of seats as there are not many jazz fans living in Monroe according to the previous years’ experience. Also, it is possible that they attend to jazz festival just to kill time and socialize with people. People rating the ‘Jazz Nightly’ high are not necessarily Jazz fans. It is possible that there are not many radio programs available in Monroe, and ‘Jazz Nightly’ happens to be the relatively better than the others. In addition, it is unwarranted to assume that jazz musician living in Monroe would works in Monroe. On the contrary, it is more likely that well-known musicians tend to live in a city far away from their working cities for privacy. Without providing evidence to validate those assumptions, the applicant fails to convince me about the popularity of Jazz music in Monroe.
assume the popularity 搭配
based on the number of people attending the annual festival, the popularity of ‘Jazz nightly’, and the well-known musician lived in Monroe. 句子结构
注意不要否定assumption
Secondly, the applicants hastily assume that fans in Monroe would choose to join the club they set up. Being a jazz fan does not necessary justify willingness to join a jazz club. A jazz fan could be happy to attend the annual festival and listen to jazz radio program but reluctant to join a jazz club due to expensive member fee or the discomfort to mandatory following the clue’s arrangement. In addition, it is not guaranteed that fans in Monroe would not prefer joining the club one hour drives away. It is well-known that there are many other factors to be considered in addition to distance. For example, people may choose the club outside of Monroe due to better facilities. Also, they may choose the club, because they are more familiar with the member there though it may be relatively far. More information is needed to support this assumption such that the applicants could convince us that the proposed jazz club would be popular among the jazz fans.
justify willingness- 选词
the discomfort to mandatory following the clue’s arrangement 不懂
one hour drives away- one hour driving away
such that- so that 选词
Another assumption made in the application is that the nationwide study could accurately reflect the behavior of Jazz fans in Monroe, which is also highly dubious. It is widely accepted that one’s spending distribution largely depends on you incomings. It is entirely possible that jazz fans in Monroe has a much smaller budget for jazz entertainment due to their lower incomings compared with the national incoming level. If this is the case, even though there are large quantities of jazz music fans in Monroe, who are willing to join the proposed jazz club, the club still would not be profitable as they just spend very few money in the club.
incomings - income
few money- little money 选词
即便花钱在Jazz上也未必花在club里 这个point漏掉了
In conclusion, opening a jazz music club in Monroe may be tremendous profitable as stated by the applicants. But we need to examine the assumptions discussed above with more information and to evaluate the validity of the argument.
tremendous(ly) profitable 词性
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